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US Sports Betting - Live NFL and MLB

Live MLB San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers ESPN 9pm

15 Jul 12 20:58
San Diego @ Dodgers

The Padres have knocked Chris Capuano about this season and despite his numbers at home, he stumbled last time out. Jason Marquis has been shaky L3, so I'll take on the low total.

Pick: Over 7.5 @ 2.00
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Live MLB Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees ESPN 6pm

15 Jul 12 18:00
Halos @ Yankees

Opposing Weaver is crazy, but his numbers on the road against the Yankees aren't great. The bombers are sitting on a three game winning streak and Nova has shown some form.

To complete the craziness (or stupidity) I'll also go Under with these two on the mound and Tim Welke behind home (3/13 O/U)

Pick: New York Yankees @ 1.96
Pick: Under 9.5 @ 1.8
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Live MLB Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins ESPN 12am

14 Jul 12 23:43
Washington @ Miami

Both of these pitchers are serving up good stuff and a low total looks vulnerable with them on the mound.

Pick: Under 7.5 @ 2.00
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Live MLB New York Mets at Atlanta Braves ESPN 9pm

14 Jul 12 20:38
Mets @ Braves

Ouch. I suppose if you're hitting .179 RISP, then the long ball is a way of addressing the problem!

I don't trust knuckleballers (even ones with numbers like Dickey's) and with the Braves on a 5 game win streak, the case for the Mets looks even weaker, but I have to take R.A. at the price.

Pick: New York Mets @ 2.06
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Live MLB Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays ESPN 6pm

14 Jul 12 17:16
Cleveland @ Toronto

Again, I like the momentum of the dog and their pitcher in this game. Jimenez has put together some nice performances recently and the Indians have won seven of the last ten and are hitting .274 L5 compared to the home team's .215 over the same stretch.

Aaron Laffey has done well after moving into the rotation, but I'm always wary of 'fill ins' and he may be fragile.

The road team is the value.

Pick: Cleveland Indians @ 2.17

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Results (Level Stakes)
2012 69-57 (+16.15)
2011 128-120 (+27.55)

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Live MLB St Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds ESPN 12am

13 Jul 12 23:39
St Louis @ Cincinnati

Latos has dazzlng numbers L3, but has been roughed up by the Cards in the past. Looking at the splits though, the numbers are heavily weighted by beatings he has taken at Busch Stadium, where in 3 outings he has conceded 23 earned runs.

Adam Wainwright has been less impressive L3 and with the home team building a little momentum, I'll take the Reds, but this price is as low as I'll go.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds @ 1.81

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Results (Level Stakes)
2012 68-57 (+15.34)
2011 128-120 (+27.55)

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Live MLB New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox 1am

08 Jul 12 22:49
Yanks @ Boston

These pitchers are difficult to separate - both have decent stuff on occasion, but don't inspire unreserved confidence. However, Lester got hammered by the Yankees recently and his splits at home are significantly worse than his road numbers.

Nova is 6-1 away and should have enough to keep the homer-happy Yankees in the game; momentum can do the rest.

Pick: New York Yankees @ 2.1
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Live MLB San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates 6.30pm

08 Jul 12 17:37
San Francisco @ Pittsburgh

The Bucs are maintaining their surprise challenge, while the Giants have been struggling of late. Lincecum has been poor, and just as he showed some form, he got knocked about by the the Nats last time out. Burnett similarly got hit hard in his last game.

Pittsburgh are a pretty light hitting team though, and Burnett's splits suggest he's happier at home, so I'll go Under here and hope there's no collapse by either of these pitchers.

Under 8 @ 1.95

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Results (Level Stakes)
2012 67-56 (+15.24)
2011 128-120 (+27.55)

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Live MLB New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox ESPN 12am

06 Jul 12 23:20
Yanks @ Boston

I hate betting the Yankees - they're always overbet and value is rare - but I've got to go with the road team here.

Kuroda and Beckett have been strong L3, but the bombers are hotter and the home team pitcher has a 5.36 ERA lifetime against the pinstripes.

Pick: New York Yankees @ 1.91

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Results (Level Stakes)
2012 68-56 (+14.33)
2011 128-120 (+27.55)

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LiVe MLB Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox ESPN 7pm

05 Jul 12 18:15
Texas @ ChiSox

Jose Quintana has been strong L3 (and stronger at home) and even though Harrison should be tough, I'll take the home dog and bet the Texas losing streak.

Pick: Chicago White Sox @ 2.20

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Results (Level Stakes)
2012 67-56 (+13.13)
2011 128-120 (+27.55)

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