orioles

People like the look of the Eagles, and they've had a great pre-season (it's pushed the line out by a point and a half) so going into the Georgia Dome they look an attractive proposition.

However, Atlanta have gone out and tried to fill the obvious deficiencies and if anyone is going to build a defence, it's Dan Quinn. The problem is, it may be too soon to meet a high octane offense like the Eagles.

Of course Philadelphia are also trying to restructure a secondary that was often woeful last season and Matt Ryan will be slinging it all night, given that he has no run game to fall back on. Whether he can hit Julio Jones often enough though, is doubtful.

There should be a ton of points, but I think the visitors will probably have too much.


Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -3 @ 1.97
Pick: Over 54.5 @ 1.92

Pick: 1st TD Julio Jones @ 8
Pick: Anytime TD Jordan Matthews @ 2

Murray will be a big miss, but the Giants look vulnerable against the pass and Romo should have time to throw.

Again though, not a big bet - its difficult to lean too heavily on the Cowboys' D.

Pick: Dallas Cowboys -6 @ 1.92
Pick: Over 52.5 @ 2

Pick: 1st TD Jason Witten @ 13
Pick: Anytime TD Shane Vereen @ 3.75

Baltimore are mighty salty up front on both sides of the ball and they're going to get after what looks like a suspect and inexperienced Broncos' O line - old wet spaghetti arm will need to lean heavily on the newly anointed C J Anderson.

The Ravens though, have Flacco under centre; he's unpredictable at the best of times, and with almost no-one left to throw it to (he'll try to hurl it deep to Steve Smith a couple of times) he'll also need his RB to shine and Justin Forsett just might. Denver are strong defending deep and pass rush, so Forsett catching out of the backfield and running behind a fine O line may have a big game.

Not a game to get heavily involved in (in fact, I'd leave it alone) but I'll take the points.

Pick: Baltimore Ravens +5 @ 1.91

Pick: First TD CJ Anderson @ 8
Pick: Anytime TD Justin Forsett @ 2

Packers
Chiefs
Jets
Seahawks
Dolphins
Broncos
Bengals
Eagles

@ 41

Eddie Lacy will be difficult to stop; he usually runs on the Bears and the home team's move to a 3-4 D may not have bedded in. Similarly, even a Nelson-less Rodgers will find time to give the Chicago defense a big test, particularly against the corners.

On the other side, well, Dom Capers always gives the fragile Cutler fits.

Lacy will pound it, then Rodgers will finish it. Giving less than a TD at Evens looks a knocking bet.


Pick: Green Bay Packers -6.5 @ 2

Pick: 1st TD Eddie Lacy @ 6
Pick: Anytime TD Matt Forte @ 2

A shiny new defensive coordinator isn't going to help against a home team on opening night with an axe to grind.

Giving the TD looks value.

New England Patriots -7 @ 1.95

Anytime TD Dion Lewis @ 3

Cards/Bucs
With these two on the mound I like the Under.
Under 7 @ 2.25

System Bets
Braves @ 2.67

(Numbers updated next time!)

Live game
I don't trust either of these hurlers.
Over 7.5 @ 1.92



System Bets
Reds @ 2.3
Marlins @ 2.65
Jays @ 2.2
Phillies @ 2.4
Rays@ 2.05
Rangers @ 2.41
Brewers @ 2.5
Twins @ 1.95
Cubs @ 2.2
Marines @ 2.25
Giants @ 2.1

Live game
Brewers/Cubs
Over 7.5 @ 2.1

Reds @ 1.87
O's @ 1.95
Nats @ 1.95
A's -1.5 @ 2.3

[40-39, +3.3]

System bets
Brewers @ 2.75
Rangers @ 2.38
Pirates @ 2.25
D'backs @ 2.35

[4-6, -0.55]

Live game
Nats/Mets
DeGrom is brutal at hone and Strasburg still hasn't hit his straps.
Mets @ 1.95

[40-38, +4.30]

System bets
Phillies @ 2.63
Reds @ 1.95
Mets @ 1.95
Indians @ 2.1
Twins @ 2.5

[3-2, +0.0]