Only one team in football history has given more points in this round.
However, Houston has a very capable defense (put the Texans in your notebook for next year when they get key players back on both sides of the ball) and Lamar Miller and DeAndre Hopkins can make some plays.
The Pats will win, but I can't give anyone over 15 points, even with Brock Osweiler under centre.
Pick: Texans +15.5 @ 1.91
52-47, +4.57
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