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Ever since Derek Carr stiffed me by fluttering a bunch of passes after picking up a knock, I'm reminded to take these things rather more seriously. Matt Stafford has knackered his throwing hand and in a wet and wild East Rutherford, against an improving defense, I'm not having the Lions.

Eli Manning looked awful last week and Detroit's defense has also made progress of late, so this may go Under; either way, don't get heavily involved.

Pick: Giants -4.5 @ 2

40-41, -1.25
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