orioles

I'm really looking forward to this one. The Falcons are purring on offense, while the Broncos are only marginally less terrifying than the Vikings on defense - Von Miller in particular is playing out of his mind.

The received wisdom is that you always take the defense where this situation arises (particularly as it's never easy going into Mile High) but Atlanta have such outstanding playmakers in all areas of the offense that I'm taking them to keep it close enough for the points on offer to count. It might also be encouraging that Siemian is banged up: although Paxton Lynch looked solid, the Falcons are a test, even without a pass rush to speak of.

Pick: Falcons +4 @ 1.95 (line/price update)