orioles

After getting the bet busted yesterday by a short hop at 1st in the 8th, I'm afraid to say I like the Unders again here!

Both these pitchers started the season with strong performances. Home plate umpire Jeff Nelson has interesting O/U numbers with lines 8.5 and below, going 7-15 last year. Busch Stadium is a marginal Unders ballpark and if these two can keep the long ball in check (and Westbrook can go reasonably deep into the game with a shaky bullpen) then we can get home.

As a double whammy, with Bailey going 3-7 with a 5.00 ERA in 13 all-time starts against the Cardinals (0-3 with a 5.49 ERA in St. Louis) I'll also take the home dog.

Pick: Under 8.5 @ 1.91
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals @ 2.05

8-6 (+1.83)