Texas @ Boston
The Bosox can't seem to get out of their own way; there was a feeling Bobby Valentine wasn't a popular choice with the players and last year's 'chicken and beers' debacle, that helped put paid to Tito, has been replaced by a spat with Valentine questioning the commitment of Kevin Youklis.
Texas, on the other hand, are confident and surging and look the value here as the road dog on a four game win streak.
Looking at the pitching splits against the opposing lineup, Colby Lewis has a worrying .289 average, but interestingly, Jon Lester has a .313 average against the Texas lineup. Lewis has traditionally struggled against Boston and at Fenway, but has started well this season.
Lester has also begun well and has a good record against the Rangers, but Texas certainly have the edge out of the bullpen and the question remains as to whether the Red Sox are really all pulling together.
Pick: Texas Rangers @ 51/50; 2.02; 102
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Results (Level Stakes)
2012 8-12 (-3.43)
2011 128-120 (+27.55)
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