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St Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs

If I predicted no aliens would land in centre field in this one, Vulcans would be strolling on Wrigley by the bottom of the second, telling Marlon Byrd to "Live long and prosper." I wish I could blame the run on the fact that these are forced picks, but to be honest, my regular bets haven't fared too much better - I was 34 points up 3 weeks ago and I'm just better than half that now.

Anyway, this afternoon's game.

Both pitchers have put up shaky numbers L3, although Wells has won three of his past four, including a five-inning, two-run effort against the Braves on Saturday. Garcia is the better pitcher, but his recent record has been decidedly poor, after starting the season strongly. The left hander is 1-3 over his past six starts and is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in August, with opponents hitting .349 against him: the Cubs are also hitting lefties hard.

However, he has had the Cubs' number, and is 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA in two starts this season.

St Louis may have more to play for, but the Cubs are coming off a successful road trip and are 7-2 in their last 9 at home and 8-2 in their L10 as the dog and will be keen to take the Cards down. 1.6+ is too short on Garcia, so I'll take the Cubbies.

I'll also go Over, because if these two pitchers are true to their numbers, there should be runs.

Pick: Cubs @ 2.44
Pick: Over 8.5 @ 1.8 (Tote)


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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

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