St Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers
This is where the rubber meets the road in the divisional race for these teams: and the Brew Crew look up for the challenge.
The streaking Brewers send Shaun Marcum to the mound - he's 3-0 L3, with a 1.06/3.00 WHIP/ERA. Nice.
He'll be facing off against a St Louis team that has fallen off the pace, but a pitcher in Jaime Garcia who threw a shutout the last time he faced Milwaukee. Garcia has a 1.23/2.66 line L3, but has had a rough time of it in Miller Park and carries 1-1 7.20 ERA record into tonight's game: his last outing against the Astros was also poor.
1.8+ is about as skinny as I'd like to go, but I like the Brewers here and, despite some solid pitching, I like the Overs too; both these pitchers' splits suggest they could give up a couple - Garcia struggles on the road (1.54/4.74) and Marcum has 1.21/4.23 line at home against what is still a dangerous Cards' offense.
Pick: Brewers @ 1.83
Pick: Over 7.5 @ 1.91
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2011 Season (Level Stakes)
81-77 (+6.41pts)