orioles

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins

There are a few factors that make Detroit the bet tonight: they own the Twins at the moment, having won their last 11 meetings; Penny has been solid enough L4 with a 3.38 ERA in his last four starts, going deep and winning his last three; Baker is 0-1 with a 7.84 ERA in two starts against Detroit this year, giving up five runs and five walks in 4 1-3 innings last time he pitched against them.

Baker is also coming off the DL - always a good time to oppose a pitcher.

Detroit look the value road dog.

Pick: Tigers @ 2.23

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

75-69 (+7.79pts)