orioles

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

Arrieta is not a bust, but the Birds are, and that hurts.

Jake has actually put together 11 quality starts this season. Also Baltimore has a decent enough recent record at Fenway, so there is a temptation to take the price on offer for them to beat the Sox.

However, I'm going to bottle that bet, perhaps because the pain of a loss on national TV and flushing money would just be too much - I've paid my dues as an Orioles' fan!

Actually, there's a strong case for the Red Sox too - Miller has been strong since coming into Boston and is 2-0 with a 1.47/3.06 line. With the offense he has behind him, it's a brave move to oppose him at home.

Instead, I'm going to go Over. It's Fenway and Baltimore are hitting lefties at the rate of .325 L10 and the Bosox are just hitting; so with young pitchers up, I'm looking for some runs.

It's not a big bet, but I'll take a little interest in Overs with my cocoa and slippers.

Nurse!

Pick: Over 10.5 @ 2.00

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

65-64 (+2.65pts)