Cincinnati Reds @ St Louis Cardinals
St Louis should take this, but Garcia's latest outing and the price, mean I can't take them tonight - even though Albert is back (but not starting).
Garcia is 4-1 with a 0.84/0.88 WHIP/ERA in seven home games, and although he has been sketchy in his last few starts, his numbers at Busch can't be ignored: he has won all four starts against the Reds, posting a 3.70 ERA.
Volquez' last start against the Rays was somewhat better than his stats L3 would suggest: he allowed three earned runs on four hits and struck out seven.
'Busch Stadium finished in the bottom 10 in HRs, runs and SLG% last season, cementing its status as a pitchers park.'
I'll go Under and hope Volquez can keep a little form and Garcia shuts down the Reds.
Pick: Under 8 @ 2.00
-------------------------
2011 Season (Level Stakes)
61-63 (-0.78pts)