Cincinnati Reds @ Baltimore Orioles
It's almost 30 years to the day that I first turned up at Memorial Stadium and fell in love with the Orioles and the game of baseball.
Matusz has been lit up recently, but may find some comfort in the scuffling Reds' offense - they're hitting .226 in four interleague road games this season - .248 against lefties L10.
Arroyo on the other hand, has strong numbers L3 (0.95/3.27) and is solid enough against the O's lineup (.260/.336./.606) and may put the bite on the Birds.
It's always difficult picking a game with your team playing, but with one team struggling at the plate and the other strong off the mound, I'll go Under, even at Camden Yards. The price from Sky looks value.
Pick: Under 9.5 @ 2.00
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2011 Season (Level Stakes)
55-57 (-0.37pts)