New York Yankees @ Cincinnati Reds
The pinstripes look like a value bet with them tearing it up at the plate and Wood stepping in for Cueto. Nova isn't a pitcher to put the mortgage on, with only marginally better numbers L3 than Wood, and both have startling WHIPs (Wood has walked 13 in his last 18 innings) so Overs looks strong too.
This is a momentum bet though, and I'll take the hot hand and what the hell, I'll go Over too - BUT check the weather before betting the totals.
Pick: Yankees @ 1.94
(Pick: Over 9.5 @ 1.95)
-------------------------
2011 Season (Level Stakes)
48-56 (-6.31pts)