orioles

Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants

Having missed the total by one in the last game, my reluctance to go Over is redoubled - particularly bearing in mind my rule that unless there is a very good reason; when the line is at 7, go Under.

However, in this case, I believe Overs is the bet.

Both these pitchers are capable of putting people on, sporting a WHIP north of 1.40.

The rebuilt Volquez has a 1.53/.361 WHIP/OBP L3. The danger is the Giants will need those numbers, because they can't hit off a tee at the moment. I'm trusting that the final game in a home series, after a heavy loss with their ace on the mound, will put a little pop in their bats.

In contrast, the Reds are rolling and are hitting lefties at a healthy .299 clip. Sanchez is by no means a mug, but still has 1.44/3.63 WHIP/ERA L3 and has walked a terrifying 15 batters in 17.1 innings: that won't work with the Reds' offense - so I also favour them to win here too.

Pick: Over 7 @ 1.95
Pick: Reds @ 1.95

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

44-47 (-0.96pts)