orioles

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

Against Lester, the Yanks' lineup is hitting .231; he's 7-1 with a 3.49 ERA in 13 starts against New York, and won the last four meetings with a 2.05 ERA. Ouch.

Boston are hitting .243 against Garcia, and their home and away splits are similarly close. Last 3 they diverge wildly, because Lester has got knocked about recently, particularly by the ChiSox.

This is a difficult game to call, but I'm going to go with the veteran arm and home dog; the Bombers will be keen to impress in their house and the Yanks can expose Lester, who has been a little fortunate to receive so much run support this season and is putting more on the usual. The Yankees also have the edge out of the pen.

Pick: Yankees @ 2.15

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

40-43 (-1.76pts)