Texas batters that have faced Carrasco have a 4.29 Avg and .467 OBP. and on the season, he has relied on an avalanche of runs in support to give him a 4-2 mark. The same stats for Dave Bush are .236 Avg, .263 OBP, so he's kept the Indians bats off rather better. However it's no good pretending this spot start is worthy of a big plunge and the risk of a shelling is always there at Progressive Field.
I don't trust either pitcher here and with both sides swinging the lumber, I'll go Over at the price.
Pick: Over 9.5 @ 2.15 (B365)
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2011 Season (Level Stakes)
38-39 (+0.86pts)
*A note about the early game. Setting aside another humiliating pick, this blog is as much about baseball betting in general, and I mentioned below about the value of Laying teams at very short prices. The Bucs/Mets game was a great example: there were decent sums traded all the way down to 1.04 on the Pirates when they were 7-0 up, and they lost. Nice.
I wasn't a Layer, naturally
