orioles

Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves

Well, after the humiliation of the Dodgers' pick (in my defence, it can happen in baseball - but I still made a right berk of myself as Nolasco collapsed in a heap!) let's see if we can't go 2/3 tonight.

This matchup sees another two pitchers who are putting up stellar numbers.

In fact, the Totals analysis is worryingly similar to the Dodgers' game: 1.18/2.80 WHIP/ERA L3 for Cueto (in three meetings with the Braves, he has given up seven runs in 18 1/3 innings) and 0.92/1.66 for Jurrjens (10 earned runs in 57 2/3 innings). Similarly, both these pens are breathing heavily, and particularly Jurrjens needs to go deep in this one.

However, there doesn't seem to be a compelling reason to go Over, so I'll take my own advice.

Pick: Under 7.5 @ 1.87

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

36-35 (+3.08pts)