orioles

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Two pitchers who have been lights out L3. Bumgarner 1.00/1.89 WHIP/ERA; Billingsley 0.86/1.64. However, a closer look shows that Billingsley has the edge statistically in terms of the home/away breakdown, and this is reflected in his record against the Giants at Dodger Stadium - 5-1 with a 2.56 ERA in eight career outings. Sagarin also rates Billingsley well ahead of Bumgarner.

With those stats, I'd go Under, but with the line at 6/6.5 at 1.8+, I'm not keen on the price.

The Giants have the edge in the pen, but Wilson pitched last night and seemed to twist his ankle (although he carried on) so it may be that he's not available tonight. That said, the Dodgers late innings' position is even more confused, and Billingsley will need to pitch deep into this game.

A little more pop at the plate would be nice, and the price is skinny, but I'll take the home favourites. Just.

Pick: Dodgers @ 1.84

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

29-29 (+1.46pts)