orioles

Houston Astros @ Atlanta Braves

The Astros are rocking, badly, but I'm not taking the Braves at 1.5+ and with the books clearly expecting a low scoring game, it's worth a look at the pitchers' record in more detail.

Rodriguez struggles away from home (1.44/5.04 WHIP/ERA) and has had a rough time at Turner Field in the past. Lowe is 1.25/4.88 at home and got knocked about in his last start. Atlanta are hitting .258 against lefties L10 and Houston just .247 against righties, so neither team is beating its brains in, but they should have enough.

The weather is a concern, but I'll take on such a low total at Turner Field, as long as there's not a hurricane in from centre.

Pick: Over 7 @ 1.95

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

28-27 (+2.51pts)