orioles

Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees

The streak principle plays big here - jump on the 4th game either way - and the Chisox have dropped three in a row (and 10 of their last 11) while the bombers are going in the other direction and are headed for their fourth consecutive win.

Burnett wouldn't ordinarily inspire overwhelming confidence (in fact, Humber's numbers are marginally stronger and he's no mug, despite bouncing around the bigs before being claimed off waivers) but the Yanks are hitting the ball hard and rolling along nicely, while Chicago seemingly can't make contact, can't field and the bullpen is just horrible.

Last 10 versus righties, the White Sox are hitting a princely .195, and although they have traditionally hit Burnett hard, they look and sound like a team that is in crisis.

I might be tempted by Overs, but the wind is blowing in and the weather forecast isn't great, so I'm going to bet the runline and hope the misery continues for the southsiders.

Pick: Yanks -1.5 @ 2

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

17-17 (+0.65pts)