orioles

Cincinnati Reds @ St Louis Cardinals

Westbrook is 0-2 at home, with an ERA an eye-watering 18.41 and a WHIP of 2.73. There is a hard and fast rule in the bigs; you put lots of people on base, and you'll give up plenty of runs. It makes Edinson Volquez' 3.00/1.00 away figures look aces - although he has benefited from an outing at Petco Park. Overall, though, Volquez has struggled too, 6.75/1.59 doesn't inspire confidence and he's also handing out too many extra bases.

Also, Westbrook is on three days rest and looks vulnerable.

I want to go Over, but the line is high, Busch Stadium is a miserly park for runs, the wind is in from centre and it's a cool night ... what the hell, I'll buy half a run and hope that at least one of these pitchers gets shelled.

Over 8.5 @ 1.87

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2011 Season (Level Stakes)

17-16 (+1.65pts)