orioles

Packers @ Bears

It's the Pack for me. I've not bought the Bears all season (to my cost, to be honest!) and I still can't, particularly in this position; these two hate each other, but there's nothing on the line after Atlanta's win (I'm assuming they have won) and Lovie Smith has rested players before and could well do so again.

Recently the famed Bear's D has stuttered, and Rodgers and his receiving corps are going hog wild at the moment, so I expect them to attack Chicago vertically; look for Jennings to score. On the other side, Green Bay's D has also started to click and Cutler (or whoever is under center by game's end) could have a long evening's work ahead as the Packers, and particularly Clay Matthews, look to tear into the post-season.

It's a lot of points to lay (my old double-digit warning) so don't go crazy, but I'll give the points regardless.

Spread bet markets are OTB at the moment, but I'd be interested in the sacks market again, for the reasons I mentioned above.

Pick: Green Bay -9.5 (-11 generally) 2* (buy the extra point if possible)
Pick: 1st TD Greg Jennings 13/2 (1pt)