orioles

Jets @ Bears

There's every prospect of a little smash mouth football in this game, which is always a surprise where Mike Martz is concerned, but the two QBs are unreliable beasts and both are facing defenses that are more than capable of rattling them. The rub of course, is that those two defenses are also tough against the run.

This is a difficult game to call ATS, because if the momentum moves against one of the QBs, it'll get ugly, quickly. Of the two, Cutler looks the stronger proposition; Sanchez is struggling with an iffy shoulder and his O line misses Damien Woody badly and has given up sacks recently - not good against the Bears. On the other side, the Jets haven't been consistently pressuring the opposition trigger man, but they must fancy it against the Chicago O line that has leaked sacks all season. Cutler's options are limited out wide by Revis and Cromartie and they're unlikely to attack the soft middle very effectively.

This is not a game to get heavily involved in ATS, but as it's the holidays...

Pick: Chicago -2.5 (1*)