Pittsburgh @ Baltimore
Despite the battering I’ve just taken, I’m going back to the sacks market on this game!
The Steelers pass rush should cause Flacco problems tonight, especially with Michael Oher nicked up and with a shut down run D, Flacco is going to need to air it out. Recently, the Ravens have been giving up sacks (13 in the past four weeks) and the Steelers are suddenly beginning to sack the opposition QB on a regular basis. On the obverse of this, the Steelers are having problems with their O line and Big Ben is obviously going to be limited with his injured foot. Both teams are going to be bringing it on prime time TV and I see a torrid night for QBs ahead.
In terms of the game result, the Ravens have struggled to score of late and, despite Pittsburgh’s slightly rocky secondary, I don’t see them marching down the field too often tonight. The Baltimore D isn't quite as solid on the ground and with Ben injured, Rashard Mendenhall should see the rock a lot; if that aspect of the Pittsburgh O starts rolling, Roethlisberger can attack the Ravens vertically as he has before. I make the Steelers a strong bet with the points.
Pick: Pittsburgh +3 (3*)
Pick: Total Match Sacks Buy @ 4.9 (0.5/tick)