orioles

Someone contacted me (yes, really!) about the whole points recommendation thing. It’s my bad; for the ATS picks, the points indicate the strength of bet from 0-5. The ATS picks are the ‘main’ bet.

All other picks, then the points are bankroll points. I’ve altered the way I rate the picks. Sorry about that.

Jacksonville @ Tennessee

Simple - if Collins goes for the Titans, then lay the points, if he doesn’t and Rusty Smith is under centre, take the Jags and points. I’m getting nothing on the late injury reports, so I’ll assume Collins goes.

Collins can at least get it done and involve Johnson in the game (Rusty Smith managed to remove his own ace from the game) and the threat of guys like Moss and Washington downfield, the Titans will change it up as required, particularly as the Jags’ pass rush/defense is very poor. They’ve defended the run well recently, but Tennessee must get the run going first, and Johnson will see the ball a lot early.

The QB issue is the biggest concern because the Titans are solid on D and they should be able to control this side of the ball and pressure Garrard whom they knocked out last time. All that said, Maurice Jones-Drew has been strong recently and is worth a touch for 1st TD.

Give the points.

Pick: Tennessee -3 (3*)

Pick: 1st TD Maurice Jones-Drew 5/1 (0.5pt)
Pick: Anytime TD Randy Moss  13/8 (1pt)