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Houston Texans @ New York Jets

I have the Jets as one of my teams to go all the way (Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Oakland, as you ask) and I’ll take them against Houston today. The Texan deep threats are potent and Schaub is capable, and paired with Foster they present the kind of balanced offense that I like: the problem is, it’s the Jets D, Houston stink on the other side of the ball, and there are real injury concerns on the Oilers’ sideline.

Everyone knows you attack Houston vertically, and every week they get torched. They have no pass rush to speak of, their safeties, Bernard Pollard and Eugene Wilson, are poor, and CBs Glover Quin and Kareem Jackson are out of their rookie depth. That makes them vulnerable deep and underneath, so I expect Edwards, Holmes and Keller to find room and Sanchez could put up big numbers through the air. The problem for Houston is exacerbated by the rejuvenated LT and Greene one-two punch on the ground. The Texans are giving up the fifth most ypg rushing over the last four as their line begins to creak too.

Houston are far from toothless - Andre Johnson is superb and can do real damage (just ask the Jags: 9/146/1 last week) but he is banged up and of course, he will find Darrelle Revis everywhere he goes today. With the dominant corner getting his game back as he regains his fitness, that’s going to be a problem for Schaub/Johnson. Another problem is Schaub’s knee, which saw him in hospital this week and I still see him listed as questionable on the injury report. His ribs are damaged too and the Jets will surely come after him and Orlovsky/Leinart ain’t getting it done.

I’ll give the points and take some interest in a Houston team with a toothless pass rush and the Jets hunting an immobile Schaub.

Pick: NYJ -6.5 (3pts)
Pick: 1st TD Santonio Holmes 12/1 (0.5pt)
Pick: Anytime TD Dustin Keller 6/5 (1pt)
Pick: Sacks Supremacy Jets/Texans Buy at 0.8 (0.5pt/tick

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