not4fun

Profit/Loss -1.4 units

Ravens @ Falcons played Friday 11.25 am Qld time

Both teams are 6-2, Falcons unbeaten at home this season. Ravens on the quick backup from Monday Night. Defence will win with the last 10 times these teams played each other the score has gone under. Ravens are in the AFC Vs an NFC opponent. AFC is the stronger competion. Ravens excel in matches where they are opposed to power running teams like the falcons. Defense is the key and the ravens have the tougher D.They can grind out a win.

Everything points to a Ravens victory here. They are getting 1 point at the line or around even money Head 2 Head. Lock and Load the Ravens win.

Bet 1 unit to win Ravens H2H

Eagle Farm Race 2 no. 7 MOSS RIVER

Ok punters I think we can get some free punting money by taking on this fav. Currently priced as a $3.10 fixed price fav on uniscab, hopefully we can lay at around those odds for a low risk profit and pave our way to having some free speculator bets later in the day.

Her form looks pretty good for a mid week maiden which should entice joe public to get behind her. Last campaign she ran 3 placings behind the very smart FILLYDELPHIA which should guarantee she runs favorite.

She is a get back run on type who always goes past the beaten horses but rarely challenges the winner of her races. Her record of three 2nds and three 3rds from 6 starts might look good to some, but the closest she has ever come to winning a race is 3/4 of a length. She has not been able to put herself into a position to fight out a win.

Today she is 2nd up from a spell and goes up in weight to 56kg. I doubt she will be fully wound up for this contest with her better performances to come as the distances progress. The likely pace of this race pace appears to be fair at best, so backmakers will have a tough task I expect. I see her racing in the 2nd half of the field and finishing off her race after the winner has already set up a winning break.

Punters, I strongly believe that her chances of winning this race are minimal. Also due to her form I expect her to be favoured by Joe Public so this presents us with an excellent laying oportunity.

See you in the winners circle, have a good day on the punt.
The General

I will advise to all of my followers

the details of my maximum bets.

I will provide reasoning for all of my selections
and plenty of notice of my intentions.

My staking stratergy is simple:
Backs- always 1 unit to win
Lays- to win 1 unit