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05 Oct 22 02:01
Date Joined: 28 Sep 02
| Topic/replies: 3,670 | Blogger: NonVintage's blog
Having looked completely dysfunctional in a Week 1 shocker, the Cowboys have won three on the bounce under back-up QB Cooper Rush, who has posted solid performances.

They have a rock-solid defense and efficient enough offensive line which is protecting Rush pretty well, while the offense itself is okay and may actually be benefitting from a slightly less complicated approach under their back-up: I don't see it as a big downside that Dak may be in line to miss another week or two.

Their opponents this week are reigning champions the LA Rams, who have scraped their way to a 2-2 start but are definitely not firing on all cylinders. Their run game looks tepid at best, Stafford may or may not have an ongoing elbow issue, and other teams appear to be working out that he targets Kupp and Higbee and, er, that's it. He's thrown more interceptions than touchdowns through four games, which sounds like panic stations.

Having been comprehensively outplayed by the SF49ers last week - a team with an elite defense and adequate offense - they now take on Dallas - a team with an elite defense and adequate offense. They will obviously be trying to break out of this rut and work some variations into their play, but there is every chance that what we see is going to be pretty much the same kind of performance, and could well end up with pretty much the same kind of result.

So obviously Dallas are going to be at least joint-favourites for this match at SoFi. Except they aren't, and are priced up at about 9/5 (2.8), which looks very generous. (I'd have put them in no bigger than 1.9)

The dusted-off Predictor has been cranked back into life, and has this as Dallas Cowboys 23-15 LA Rams which looks pretty feasible.
Pause Switch to Standard View Dallas Cowboys -v- LA Rams (Week 5)
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Report NonVintage October 6, 2022 12:25 AM BST
Just as an additional aside/curiosity, the Rams are getting absolutely killed in the 4th quarter of their games so far this year.

They are 0-4 in the last quarter, having 'lost' every single game on this basis. Understandable against the Bills, excusable against the 49ers, but not great against fairly mediocre-looking Falcons and Cardinals outfits...

1st Quarter - LA Rams 20-17 Opponents
2nd Quarter - LA Rams 30-19 Opponents
3rd Quarter - LA Rams 17-17 Opponents
4th Quarter - LA Rams 3-44 Opponents

Is it something fundamentally wrong with their approach or attitude? Or just a function of how their games have gone with a smallish sample size? Should be interesting to see whether they start finishing stronger, and they'll need to if they are going to make the post season!
Report tobermory October 6, 2022 9:01 PM BST
bizarre stat
Report wondersobright October 7, 2022 7:58 PM BST
rams took their foot off the gas in atlanta game
dallas have beaten absolute trash last twice & 1st win burrow turned it over a trillion times this is massive step up facing them & with backup qb remember
odds against for rams better than -6 way too big imo 4/9 ml also v fair & I rarely like chalk in nfl
Report NonVintage October 7, 2022 10:15 PM BST
If the Rams turn up even vaguely as they were in the second half of last season, then yes they will probably win this: -6 and 4/9 would be very fair.

But there are issues (multiple) there for them at the moment - it isn't just one thing going wrong.

They may well turn it around, and it might be that they can do that this week. But there are too many ifs for me. With all things considered, I'd give these teams pretty much an equal chance of winning, hence it has to be a Dallas pick for me with the game priced up as it is...
Report england_v_south_afri October 9, 2022 9:29 PM BST
Great start NV !! Cool
Report NonVintage October 10, 2022 1:43 AM BST
Thanks versus!
Report wondersobright October 10, 2022 11:12 AM BST
wd nv
Report NonVintage October 10, 2022 11:39 AM BST
Cheers wonder...
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