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Kicks off on thurs
Who do we like this year ?
I've had speculative punts on two from the AFC, Kansas City (36) + Tennessee (75); two from the NFC, Chicago (100) + Arizona (150)
Reasoning variously along the lines of 2nd season QBs and / or new coaching staffs and / or blind optimism
As usual the Patriots are a tempting price play because of how weak their league and conference is although I'll hope for a rocky start like last year before I invest
Who do we like this year ?
I've had speculative punts on two from the AFC, Kansas City (36) + Tennessee (75); two from the NFC, Chicago (100) + Arizona (150)
Reasoning variously along the lines of 2nd season QBs and / or new coaching staffs and / or blind optimism
As usual the Patriots are a tempting price play because of how weak their league and conference is although I'll hope for a rocky start like last year before I invest
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Titans backer signing in as well at 75s
 Gotta fancy their schedule and can envisage Henry having a breakout year. On the Panthers as well at 70s, receiving corps had a bit of a boost (still not great) but should be better than last year. Be interesting to see what level McCaffrey can reach this season. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Evening guys.
Signing in for the titans too,huge price,can't resist,way over subscribed now. Eagles I like for follow up but banged up. Rams must go well surely. Jaguar other main bet... Speculative dig at the Bears   Literally could not cannot believe the Raiders traded Mack, for 2 lottery tickets,****g nuts...nuts... Year before last I thought Raiders had a shot until Carr broke leg,million miles off now with a stinking D. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Bears rumble over Rodgers i may have nicked some value,there D could be scary in time..
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Bet365 are offering early cash out on NFL games
"How it works: Place a pre-match single bet on the Money Line market for any game in the NFL. If the team you back goes 14 points ahead at any stage during the game, we will settle your bet early as a winner, even if the opposition comes back to win the match." Anyone got any idea what Buffalo are doing at Quarterback? Was looking at under 6.5 wins but at $1.40 for a long term bet it doesn't appeal. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The Jags have some absolute jets on both sides of the ball that are young. Norwell a great addition and they are in the weaker AFC. Still not sure about the man at QB though and not sure if I want to buy or not. Wait and see for me, Giants away to start off a banana peel with OBJ back and Barkley could make people forget all about Elliott's rookie season - prodigious talent. Watching him at Penn State last year was box office viewing. One of the most interesting week 1 games imo.
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peterman gets week 1 start for bills.
think ravens will steamroller the bills week one and should cover -7 also really like the titans in week 1 in Miami M/L around evens two to win superbowl for me VIKINGS OR SAINTS GL ALL FOR THE SEASON AHEAD | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Main rule changes for this season
- lowering, leading with and making contract on opponent with helmet is out - applies to everyone including offensive players although most likely to be defensive players getting flagged, 15 yard pen and possible ejection if flagrant. This may be in part a result of the Ryan Shazier injury - the catch rule - it's no longer strictly necessary to control the ball all the way to the ground, as soon as you make a "football move" with control it's a catch. I was in a small minority in that I liked the rule the way it was. There will be more legit catches now, also more fumbles. And probably no end to controversy once they start arguing what a "football move" is - a rule change that could affect points spread players - if time has expired after a TD then the extra point won't be required if it doesn't affect the result | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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I really like Minnesota for the Superbowl @ 10/1. A ferocious defense coupled with a 2 headed running back attack and an improvement at qb.
In week 1 the Bills are going with 5 pick Peterman at qb. I'm all over the Ravens. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Rams gonna be very hard to deal with based on that 2nd half display. Star running back, an O line that gives a solid QB all day, speedy receivers, DPOY and Suh on D with star corners. Sheesh.
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Only seem to be lacking an edge rush Rhino....
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Rams to go 16-0 anyone?
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Surely they dispose of the Vikings after there stunningly bad display against Bills.
Literally beyond belief that game was,how bad they were. Hoping for a routine win,move on,couple of injuries to carry on the D tonight the Rams... Doubt go 16.0 Rhino bit it would be pleasing I would think from a financial perspective. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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do not think they will go 16-0
fancy them tonight -7 stats against the vikings no team travelling from central time zone to pacific time zone on a thursday night have never won or covered the spread in 12 years | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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They are more than capable of going 16-0 in my opinion but tonight is a banana peel with the injuries to the corners. Quite possibly one of the most loaded teams ever assembled (on paper at least).
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7 weeks in, how y'all see it atm? The Chiefs look amazing, wonder if the QB will hit a wall at some point. Level he is at is incredible, but with that many weapons to throw to kind of hard not to be. AFC Championship looks very much like chiefs vs pats but a long way to go. Rams still out on their own in the NFC, still think injuries might be the only thing stopping them from playing in the big one.
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Going very well the Rams...Injuries there only danger. Maybe Brees in an all out shootout for the Bowl.?
Home field huge,agree looks like Chiefs Pats now but one two injuries changes everything. Chiefs an incredible watch,were buying money the other day v Bengals. Houston may keep improving if avoid usual injury car crash. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Meant shootout to get to the Bowl
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I'll be happy to oppose the Rams at the business end of the season. They have very little playoff pedigree and running backs with a heavy workload during the season tend to run out of gas in January
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Saints schedule very tough from here on in.
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Agreed,tough division,Panthers better value at 4x the price...
Eagles another injury today,there very smashed up now,and not playing well. Rams for me coasting through games at times,don't see that many of them overworked at all. There a very short price right now though for me! | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Should be around 5 imo...
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Before Week 8
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After comfortably handling the Vikings away and disposing of the Rams, New Orleans have a genuine claim to being the best team in the league. A+. Now hold the tie break with the Rams so just need to match them to secure home field through the championship game, may need perfection to do it though when you look at the Rams schedule. For the Saints it is tough throughout.
Those 2 games in 3 weeks against the Panthers at the end look delicious. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Given that "defense wins championships" do any of the leading teams in the betting have a top 10 defense ? Right now I'd say probably not. There are teams who could possibly move in there with the possible return of one or two key players (Berry and Houston for the Chiefs, Bosa for the Chargers, Talib for the Rams)
Is there any defense dominant enough to overcome their obvious offensive deficiencies ? Right now the best defense in the league is probably the Bears despite Mack never really getting fully fit so far. However Trubisky has been a major disappointment - not much progress at all from his rookie year Maybe the high-powered offenses will be largely unopposed in the playoffs this season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Saints take the punt on Dez. Not much of a punt really, can't see much downside unless there is a loss of team harmony. Sure he will be on his best behaviour.
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saints
pats rams chiefs any of them find a decent D they are gunna absolutely p1ss up nobody seems to be able to stop anybody though | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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I'll go Saints
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Goballistic...does that well held term defense wins championship hold up nowadays...yes it was always thus but in todays NFL where each year the new rules invariably seem to be slanted to the offense it's not holding true
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i am on the saints.hope Dez does not rock the boat in the Big Easy
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grayhawk, it's the same rules for everyone, just more points in general so most teams are scoring 35 pts instead of 25 and a great defense holds you to 20 instead of 10. If anything the rule changes might work the other way, whereby the easier you make it to play offense and the harder you make it to play defense, the more it separates defense and anyone can play offense - in last year's playoffs you've got Nick Foles winning a SB
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Dez Bryant achiilles injury - looks done for season
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Cooper Kupp done for the year...big loss for the Rams
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Market doesn't seem to follow results very closely...
At last update I posted... Houston 4-3 were @36. Now 6-3 and still 36. Colts were 2-5 and 170. Now 4-5 and 200. Best of all Washington were 4-2 @50 to back, now 6-3 and 75  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Rams won't be winning any Superbowl without Kupp. Too important of a player for them and their defense is nowhere good enough to compensate for any loss of efficiency on offense.
As stated in another thread I like the Titans at current odds and possibly the Steelers too given their secondary seems to have improved after dropping Artie Burns. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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I was wondering about the Rams without Kupp as well. 54 points says the offense will be just fine. The defense on the other hand...
Meanwhile, the Saints are making a mockery of the tough schedule. Remaining games as follows: Falcons, @ Cowboys, @ Bucs, @ Panthers, Steelers, Panthers. Really, I don't know who will be beat them but enough in there one sub-par game and they will drop one. 14-2 or 15-1 looks pretty likely barring something drastic. As they hold the tie break against the Rams, LA prob need to win out to finish on top of the NFC. Their remaining games: @ Lions, @ Bears, Eagles, @ Cardinals, Niners. Game against the Bears looks huge with Chicago sitting pretty to win their division. Home field is going to be so important, I'd give the edge to whoever has it between the Saints and Rams - LA did enough in New Orleans for me to suggest they have the quality needed to win at home against Brees and co. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Just did the math on the big 5, grouped you're getting about 1.32 against the field.
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tobermory • November 18, 2018 1:56 AM GMT
Market doesn't seem to follow results very closely... Washington were 4-2 @50 to back, now 6-3 and 75 market seems to follow injury news a lot closer than you do |