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bigpoppapump
30 Jan 14 12:02
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Date Joined: 16 Dec 02
| Topic/replies: 7,750 | Blogger: bigpoppapump's blog
The two teams last 10 matches (5 each) are over 47.5 twice and under the other 8.  Those two overs were 48 and 50.

Remarkable consistency:
Pats 16 26 DB
Charg 17 24 DB
DB 34 14 Raiders
DB 37 13 Texans
Charge 27 20 DB

Basically Denver beats the two stronger play off teams a similar score and the two weak teams a similar score.  DB defense very solid with a 4 game conceded sequence of 13-14-16-17.

49ers 17 23 SS
Saints 15 23 SS
Rams 9 27 SS
Cards 17 10 SS
SS 23 0 NYG

SS 5 game conceded sequence of 0-17-9-15-17

So combined they're 0/9 or 1/10 for conceding +17.5

I could potentially see DB run away late on if SS Secondary gets banged up and/or the officials are uber-strict because the story is supposed to be that PM (the goody) beats the SS baddies.  But in the unlikely event (for me) of DB getting +30 then presumably that would be at the expense of SS possession which would mitigate against the SS busting 20pts. 

Has to be most likely 21-17 or 24-21 or 24-17 or some such.  one way or the other.

Under 47.5 at a shade of odds on.  fill yer boots and yer granny's boots and the boots of yer granny's knitting circle.  you get my point...
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Report bigpoppapump February 4, 2014 10:00 AM GMT
:(

Kept DB down to 8 but busted by 3.5!

A kick return TD, a pick 6, a safety FFS.  Still, I'd do the same again...
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