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ClayDavis
12 Jan 14 14:29
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Date Joined: 07 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 8,456 | Blogger: ClayDavis's blog
What's all this San Diego nonsense? it's ends tonight and it will end in spectacular fashion. Manning has all his weapons available to him for the first time since the beginning of December and that signals lights out for the Chargers. This isn't Andy Dalton we are talking about.
I was quite keen on the Chargers covering the spread the last time they went to Denver but I'm not tonight. I felt there was only one team that wanted to win that game and it was as bad as I have seen Denver play in a long, long time.
With all his weapons available to him, I think Denver will score at least 30 points - probably even 40. It's not going to be too cold and the wind shouldn't be a factor.
San Diego's run defense isn't great and their secondary has been getting shredded all season long.
Where I do respect the Chargers is in their run game. it's very good. But the Broncos, although rubbish on D for most of the season, have been very decent against the run and I'm hoping they will shut the Chargers down. The Chargers have been successful recently by keep the ball out of Rivers' hands. And no wonder. He only threw for 160 yards last week. But Denver score quickly and heavily and Rivers will have to start airing it out and this is where it will all go wrong for the Chargers.
I can see this being a blowout and a big blowout at that.
MASSIVE BET ON THE DENVER BRONCOS -8 at 10-11
Pause Switch to Standard View Manning to mangle rubbish Rivers
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Report Wallflower January 12, 2014 2:45 PM GMT
Chargers -

.......won 5 in row
.......have beaten Broncos twice this year
.......Broncos have had over 400 yds of offense in 14 of 16 matches this year...the 2 they haven't?... both games vs Chargers
.......Chargers lead the league in time of possession, keep this up and Manning won't be on the field as much as normal
.......the "scary" first Eagles home opponent wins Superbowl last 4 or 5 yearsCool....this year was San Diego Chargers

Still think the Broncos win it thoughGrin.....but closer than you'd think - wary of Manning in play-offs anyway.
Report Swardean January 12, 2014 3:37 PM GMT
Is this a change of heart? In the comp, you said broncos (narrowly)
Report Still standing January 12, 2014 3:59 PM GMT
Everybody talks about value when it comes to betting ?  Clay is betting against a -8 line.  That is a line set by a linemaker who is a million times better at setting a line then Clay, with more contacts, algorithms, computing power at his disposal.

Every point Clay makes has been considered and built into the line.  If you are going against the handicap, you must have something that you apply more weight to then the LM does.  That's it.  It's not complicated.

Manning has all his weapons available to him for the first time since the beginning of December

Thank you Clay, the LM knows that, and it's built into the line.

I felt there was only one team that wanted to win that game

Good FG.  Stop it Clay.  My ribs are hurting.

With all his weapons available to him, I think Denver will score at least 30 points

Better tell the LM that.  Wait.  Don't bother.  He thinks that too.  How do I know ?  The O/U is about 54, the handicap is 8.  Figure it out.

The Chargers have been successful recently by keep the ball out of Rivers' hands.

My ribs, my ribs.  Let's keep the offense off the field.  Clay thinks that is the SD game plan.

He only threw for 160 yards last week

A 5 second fact check shows his yardage was worse then that, and Clay can't even get his figures right.  Rivers actually threw for 128 yards, but was 75%  He didn't have to do any more.  SD won.  Clay thinks this is a detriment.

Clay picks Denver at -8 based on faulty facts.  I don't care if you pick Denver or not.  I do care about how you continually spew garbage.
Report Roger De Bris January 12, 2014 4:58 PM GMT
Wallflower -
Chargers -

.......won 5 in row
.......have beaten Broncos twice this year
.......Broncos have had over 400 yds of offense in 14 of 16 matches this year...the 2 they haven't?... both games vs Chargers
.......Chargers lead the league in time of possession, keep this up and Manning won't be on the field as much as normal
.......the "scary" first Eagles home opponent wins Superbowl last 4 or 5 yearsCool....this year was San Diego Chargers

Still think the Broncos win it thoughGrin.....but closer than you'd think - wary of Manning in play-offs anyway.

I thought they split the series this year????
Report Wallflower January 12, 2014 5:15 PM GMT
... apologies, you are right Roger.....had it my head they had beat them at home earlier as well. Should have checked. Thx.

As I said, I'd still go with Broncos - anyone would be hard-pushed not to in Mile High - just hope for entertainment purposes its close.

It will be interesting if the Chargers are right in it. Could happen as I think the Chargers were very very good against Bengals - I think they would have won even if the Bengals (ie. Dalton) hadn't imploded, and I rated the BengalsShocked.
Report themightymac January 12, 2014 5:36 PM GMT
Lucky it wasn`t Clay that got that big fact wrong !
Report Still standing January 12, 2014 5:51 PM GMT
Nice jab Mac.  If it was Clay that got that fact wrong, I'd be celebrating because it would only be one. About 10% of the usual.
Report themightymac January 12, 2014 9:25 PM GMT
I don`t read the posts because they are far too long and it would cost me valuable drinking time Crazy

.... but you`ve got to hand it to the guy, he`s betting winners Excited
Report ClayDavis January 13, 2014 11:58 AM GMT
This was really a kick in the chops CryCryCry
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