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... and I haven't a clue what to back!
Lines are
NO @ SEA -8.0
IND @ NE -7.0 (-7.5 available)
SF @ CAR +1.0 (+1.5 & +2.0 available)
SD @ DEN -9.5 (-9.0 & -10.0 available)
As I posted on NFLUK
This is only the 3rd time since 1990 (96 games) that there is a Home Underdog in the Divisional round (I don't have records prior to that so it is probably more)
The previous 2 times, the Home Dogs won the game outright:
05-Jan-1997: Panthers beat the Cowboys 26-17 as 3.5pt Dogs
14-Jan-2012: 49ers beat the Saints 36-32 as 3.5pt Dogs
Ironic that the 2 teams that won are matched up this weekend
As regards the other 3 matches, again going back to 1990, in Divisional games where the Home Fav is giving up more than a TD, then the Fav is 24-17 ATS
However the results are skewed a bit if you take recent results vs historic results
2004-2013: Home Fav is 6-11
1998-2003: Home Fav is 10-0
1990-1998: Home Fav is 8-6
so there is definitely a shift towards the Road Dog covering the spread since 2004 following years of dominance by the Home Fav. I think this makes sense as home advantage means less and less in the NFL while garbage-time TDs and prevent defence mean that teams often score a TD late on to beat the spread
eg - if you take the Seahawks -8.0 against the Saints then you will probably need them to be 16 points up at some stage in the 4th quarter in order to cover that spread
I just can't pull the trigger on anything this weekend just yet.
Lines are
NO @ SEA -8.0
IND @ NE -7.0 (-7.5 available)
SF @ CAR +1.0 (+1.5 & +2.0 available)
SD @ DEN -9.5 (-9.0 & -10.0 available)
As I posted on NFLUK
This is only the 3rd time since 1990 (96 games) that there is a Home Underdog in the Divisional round (I don't have records prior to that so it is probably more)
The previous 2 times, the Home Dogs won the game outright:
05-Jan-1997: Panthers beat the Cowboys 26-17 as 3.5pt Dogs
14-Jan-2012: 49ers beat the Saints 36-32 as 3.5pt Dogs
Ironic that the 2 teams that won are matched up this weekend
As regards the other 3 matches, again going back to 1990, in Divisional games where the Home Fav is giving up more than a TD, then the Fav is 24-17 ATS
However the results are skewed a bit if you take recent results vs historic results
2004-2013: Home Fav is 6-11
1998-2003: Home Fav is 10-0
1990-1998: Home Fav is 8-6
so there is definitely a shift towards the Road Dog covering the spread since 2004 following years of dominance by the Home Fav. I think this makes sense as home advantage means less and less in the NFL while garbage-time TDs and prevent defence mean that teams often score a TD late on to beat the spread
eg - if you take the Seahawks -8.0 against the Saints then you will probably need them to be 16 points up at some stage in the 4th quarter in order to cover that spread
I just can't pull the trigger on anything this weekend just yet.
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maybe they try a Sean Peyton special to try get the ball 1st, field position doesn't seem to matter much to the Broncos
.... yep db1974, just going to say that...... does look ominous (at best
)
)
Chargers won here in a game where everything went right for them. It was never going to happen again but I did think they would be better than this. They barely look like getting a 1st down, let alone a TD
rofl this got to be one of the worst first half performance ever, seriously!!
.... well at least 2 potentially cracking matches next week.
I can switch to +-0 Denver +16000 Chargers.... any chance of a miracle Chargers win?
Jan 12, 2014 -- 4:54PM, TexassportsagentBuzz wrote:
I can switch to +-0 Denver +16000 Chargers.... any chance of a miracle Chargers win?
its 8 times more money than I ever won before if I do it and they win
Jan 12, 2014 -- 4:52PM, incaseof wrote:
rofl this got to be one of the worst first half performance ever, seriously!!
this is their normal game
....you have a nice profit already, could still have a potentially massive win on Chargers for pittance...but still wouldn't recommend
.......its like a mis-match
.......its like a mis-match
SD better take that with them in half time and go out wind in 2nd half
early line for next wk Seattle -3. Expect it to move to +3.5
Jan 12, 2014 -- 5:13PM, Roger De Bris wrote:
Rivers 1 passing yard first half...
Chargers 1 passing yard....
......still, hanging in there, well kind of
..........still, hanging in there, well kind of
Hate to remind you guys but peyton tends to better in the 2nd half of games 
Given stats like Chargers only one running yard, seems a miracle to me it's only 14-0!
Chargers in danger of getting over the half way line here... Then again maybe not 
Chargers are getting gashed anyway so why not wait for the snap ?
... they are hanging in there
...... well defense is anyway
...... well defense is anyway
dreadful take some shots deep and hurry up, unbelievable
Have to ask why did the Chargers wait till they were almost dead & buried to start to try to play?
manning going to throw the ball down the field or what
is it gsm yet I have switched to womens tennis, next week should have 2 closer games
....Out of it now for a pittance, made nothing really, bad timing.......was there for the taking.
.
Are we going to get even more drama in this crazy NFL season?? Come on Chargers
how is he that open why some teams dont deserve 2 win u leave a man like that that open on 3 and 17 shocking
may as well have triede the 2nd onside kick
shattered after watching 16 hours of it this weekend...
Thank God the Colts leg of my acca lost yesterday, would have been gutted if DEN -9.5 had scuppered it having dominated that game
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