Thanksgiving competition

Nice one. That should be fun

Lions -6.0 and Over 49.5

Raiders +9.5 and Over 46.5

Steelers +3.0 and Under 40.5

My selections are

Lions -6.0, under 49.5pts
Cowboys -9.5, over 46.5pts
Steelers +3.0, over 40.5pts

ok. umm.

tough games.

packers +6, under 49.5pts
cowgirls -9.5, under 46.5pts
raybans -3.0, over 40.5pts

i could do it again in 5 minutes and go the other way on all of em though. theyre all tricky mcsticky. most confident would be the raybans -3 i spose. but even that i wouldnt bet on.

packers + 6, unders
raiders + 9.5, overs
steelers + 3, overs

Packers under
Raiders under
Ravens under

Packers +6.0 Over 49.5pts
Cowboys -9.5 Over 46.5 pts
Steelers +3.0 Over 40.5pts

Packers +6 and overs
Cowboys -9.5 and overs
Steelers +3 and unders

Why not, happy thanksgiving all (wouldn't catch me as this spread & overs/unders lark with real money)

Lions -6.0   : Overs
Raiders +9.5 : Overs
Ravens  -3.0 : Overs

Lions : Overs
Raiders : Overs
Ravens : Unders

Packers unders
Cowboys overs
Steelers overs

Cheers

Shouldn't it be favorite just for today?

Lions -6, unders
Cowboys -9.5, overs
Steelers +3, overs

I heard from a reliable source Aron Rodgers will play.
He is 90%.

HAPPY TG!!!

Lions - 6, Unders
Cowboys -9.5, Unders
Steelers +3, Unders

Packers Over
Cowboys Under
Steelers Over

lions over

raiders under

ravens over

Detroit unders
Baltimore overs
Cowboys overs

suppose I better bet on this now

Packers   Over
Cowboys   Under
Steelers  Under

S'up

Lions -6.0 and Under (Megatron)

Raiders +9.5 and Over 46.5 (Rashad Jennings)

Steelers +3.0 and Under 40.5 (Steelers D/ST)

(1st TD)

Now I've got a turkey to eat

HOW DETROIT IS NOT UP 20+ IS BEYOND ME

300+ YARDS IN THE 1ST HALF

Standings after Game 1

2 - themightymac
2 - Wallflower
2 - mr phantom
2 - no chances taken

1 - db1974
1 - HowieTheRookie
1 - grrrrowl
1 - therhino
1 - sc1883
1 - Colldogg
1 - Larry Sellers
1 - Lance in France
1 - orioles

0 - sideshowbob
0 - louie87
0 - Swardean
0 - Hank Hill

....and all the leaders on the Raiders

well that was quick

CANT STAND THESE COW GIRLS

OUCH OP .. 0/2 ON YOUR PICKS SO FAR. I'M ON THE STEELERS SO HOPEFULLY THAT SHOULD COME IN

BACKDOOR COVER ... WELL DONE OP

Standings after the backdoor cover from the Raiders in Game 2

4 - themightymac (PIT, Under)
4 - Wallflower (BAL, Over)
4 - mr phantom (BAL, Under)

3 - no chances taken (BAL, Over)
3 - orioles (PIT, Under)

2 - db1974 (PIT, Over)
2 - HowieTheRookie (PIT, Over)
2 - grrrrowl (PIT, Under)
2 - therhino (PIT, Over)
2 - Larry Sellers (BAL, Over)
2 - louie87 (PIT, Over)

1 - sc1883 (PIT, Under)
1 - Colldogg (PIT, Over)
1 - Lance in France (PIT, Under)
1 - Swardean (BAL, Under)
1 - Hank Hill (PIT, Over)

0 - sideshowbob (BAL, Over)

...only top group can win (I think).....good luck mightymac and phantom........ its a very significant prize, respect and admiration are not common on this forum....if only for 2 days

Oh I don't know, I think it's a lot more common on this forum than others. FU Raiders! the cowboys cap was the only one I bet

...yes, of course Hank......as forums go this is one of the best (if not the best).  Cricket was good, but is struggling lately.

Soccerball

I do check in on football, just to see which posters have managed to outrun the nurses and get on to the hospital computer

, likewise...hard not look into it from time to time, kind of morbid fascination

amazing how close they all were.

over 49.5 was 50 points
dallas -9.5 was 7 points
over 40.5 was 42 points
baltimore -3.0 was 2 points

and i got 1 out of 6 right. but made 400 quid profit on the games
im always utterly rbbish on stuff i dont bet on. best way to be i suppose.

Couldn't stay up for the late game last night - getting too old now

Anyway here's the final standings after the 3 games, which were quite close as sideshowbob said above. Thanks to all who entered and well done to themightmac and Wallflower who got 5 of the 6 correct

5 - themightymac (PIT, Under)
5 - Wallflower (BAL, Over)

4 - mr phantom (BAL, Under)
4 - no chances taken (BAL, Over)
4 - orioles (PIT, Under)
4 - db1974 (PIT, Over)
4 - HowieTheRookie (PIT, Over)
4 - therhino (PIT, Over)
4 - louie87 (PIT, Over)

3 - grrrrowl (PIT, Under)
3 - Larry Sellers (BAL, Over)
3 - Colldogg (PIT, Over)
3 - Hank Hill (PIT, Over)

2 - sc1883 (PIT, Under)
2 - Lance in France (PIT, Under)

1 - Swardean (BAL, Under)
1 - sideshowbob (BAL, Over)

Robbed

Thanks db1974, gave a bit of added interest.

Exhibit 1 ..... this little competition, a good exercise, does anyone like me think this helps prove spread betting is a toss of a coin.......I don't understand why people back spreads straight. There may be some merit if you genuinely fancy the underdog and get the points, but then your losing the odds against value, so there is no real gain - well, not from what I can see.

....Exhibit 2 -  Clay's Forum Appreciation thread, he's winning this week but in terms of profit/loss he around the -2%  to 2% range.......a lot of his bets, guessing 60% or so are with the spread. Its about level, as you might expect tossing a coin.

Am I missing something in terms of potential value?

(Please note if you were part of this competition you can disagree with me but must be respectful and full of admiration until Sunday)

i very rarely bet on either normal spread.

i usually go with the short price over/under, around 1.35ish. or the favourite getting points. or the straight win. my 2 bets yesterday were 500 quid on dallas to win at about 1.25 and 500 quid on baltimore 3.5 at about 1.4.

i didnt actually watch either game cos i was shattered and went to bed at 8pm after the detroit game which i didnt bet on. watched them both at about 6am this morning in speed through on the gamepass. a good job too, cos i may have been tempted to take a huge red on the dallas bet at halftime!

* baltimore +3.5

well i did have a grand on detroit at about 1.07 i think. but im not counting that cos its not something i do very often. defo is the quickest way to the poorhouse doing stuff like that. but i just couldnt see how green bay were gonna score if they played til next thanksgiving. and i was feeling dangerous.

Well done Wallflower, your 50% of the first prize, (What is 50% of Nothing?)is in the post. And well done db1974 for setting up the competition which was fun.

A very profitable night all round

We all have our own betting methods, but imo, betting on the NFL would be as boring as **** without the Handicap betting. If one has faith in one`s own Handicapping methods, then one can make some serious money. Moneyline is ok if the odds are value, but betting on 1.07 shots is the quickest way to the poor house.

I`m not knocking anyone, each of us to their own, but putting a Grand on to win £70 is not for me.

Would rather have my 1,100 on the Handicap @ 10/11 - provided I thought the mark was wrong, like Detroit last night.