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ClayDavis
03 Oct 13 20:26
Joined:
Date Joined: 07 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 8,456 | Blogger: ClayDavis's blog
The Browns to be leading the division that contains Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Cincinnati...wow, just wow!!
When betting on this game it's worth pointing out that there is a 60% chance of thunderstorms in the Cleveland area tonight.
The Cleveland Browns completely shut down the potent offence of the Bengals last week and I think they will be confident they can do the same to the Bills tonight.
I really rate this Browns defense.
I respect the Bills running game, both CJ Spiller Fred Jackson are decent. Both have injuries and although both are likely to play, just how fit are they?
Bills WR Steve Johnson is also a massive threat. But the Browns secondary did a great job against the Bengals potent WR core.
Although rookie QB EJ Manuel has done well for the Bills so far this season, I'm not convinced by him. I thought he crumbled against the Jets' defence when they pressured him and I expect the same tonight with the Browns.
Brian Hoyer has been a sensation since taking over from Benjamin Button (LaughLaugh) at QB for the Browns. He can move the ball adequately through the air and is not making the same mistakes as Brandon Weddon. Travis Benjamin, Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron are all big threats and Hoyer has been finding them regularly.
When looking at the stats of this game the one thing that stood out for me is just how bad the Bills' run defence is. They give up 122 yards per game and are ranked 27th against the run in the NFL. And with the Browns threats in the WR department they can't just load the box and shut down the run. That is why I expect RB Willis McGahee to have a big night for the Browns. I wascalways a big fan of McGahee at Denver and he is a decent back who will prove to be a shrewd move for the Browns.
The Bills don't play consistently well at the point of attack, which leads to some occasional gashes up the middle. They're also prone to making mistakes in contain,  they allow too many runs to get outside, and they'll overrun cutback lanes and give up additional yardage. This is why I have backed McGahee to score anytime tonight, especially as rain is predicted and the run game will be even more important.
So the Browns have an excellent defense and an improving offense. What is not to like? While the Bills have lost their last four on the road.
BIG BET ON THE BROWNS -3 at 4-5
SMALL BET ON MCGAHEE ANYTIME TD SCORER AT 13-8
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Report Srichaphan or Ancic? October 3, 2013 9:10 PM BST
in play bet for sure
Report DirkDiggler October 3, 2013 9:52 PM BST
I'm on Browns -3.
Report Swardean October 3, 2013 10:23 PM BST
We disagree on this on, I have backed bills +4 at 5/6 and they are my wk 5 naps.... That said I have the jax at +11.5 as my next best.
Report ClayDavis October 3, 2013 10:37 PM BST
stick to Argie football Swardean
Report HARRY22 October 3, 2013 10:41 PM BST
Won't be playing any of these as singles but agree with the jags, other two I like are eagles +2.5 and detroit +7.5

wilfork done for the season,massive blow for the patriots,he has been immense for years,one of the most underrated players in the league.
Report Half Loser 22 October 3, 2013 10:43 PM BST
Think Bills could do well here. But being away from home,
You've got to fancy the Cleveland Browns at home with an immense attack force for the game.
Cleveland Browns -3 will come in, going to bet on it myself I think.
Report HARRY22 October 3, 2013 10:44 PM BST
add + 7.5 dallas
Report Swardean October 3, 2013 10:45 PM BST
Hadn't heard about wilfork, truly a giant. Not good for my pats SB bet. Patriots always seem to overcome though.

Very good Clay but will leave the South American stuff to you.  Anyone staying up
Report Wallflower October 3, 2013 11:13 PM BST
Taking a chance by going to bed now for a couple of hours (wanted to go early) - then get up for NFL and maybe stay-up. Some very tasty WTA on - China Open QFs all good matches.

Strictly an in-play trader me (though have my thoughts on lines, but it just colours my trading approach), think Browns should win, but at around 1.55 I certainly won't be backing them as my opening position. Too skinny.

Looking forward to watching the Browns.

laterHappy


(Good luck, ClayCool.....you need to consolidate by getting some profit this week, no matter how small. Remember the golden rule...............NEVER CHASE)
Report Beaniash October 4, 2013 12:28 AM BST
UNDER 41.5 GOOD LUCK ALL
Report wisewords October 4, 2013 1:35 AM BST
touchdown Bills
Report Swardean October 4, 2013 1:40 AM BST
That is a def fumble.
Report Swardean October 4, 2013 1:41 AM BST
Wow, that could be trouble for the browns
Report Mike-lfc October 4, 2013 1:41 AM BST
How can you honestly justify backing Cleveland at those odds? Bills beat them last 2 times and have had just as good a start to the season. Gotta take 2.6x just for the odds alone (not aftertiming)
Report Mike-lfc October 4, 2013 1:41 AM BST
ps They might go and win but it isnt worth the risk at 1.6
Report Swardean October 4, 2013 1:46 AM BST
Browns qb out. Will he return? Agreed mike I like h2hs
Report liam1982 October 4, 2013 1:46 AM BST
got to fancy the bills here Shirley?
Report viva el presidente! October 4, 2013 1:48 AM BST
that was a cheap shot on the qb, imo.
Report liam1982 October 4, 2013 1:49 AM BST
anyone know if hes coming back on?:
Report Kriskin October 4, 2013 1:49 AM BST
Browns taking a hammering here
Report Mike-lfc October 4, 2013 1:49 AM BST

Oct 4, 2013 -- 1:46AM, Swardean wrote:


Browns qb out. Will he return? Agreed mike I like h2hs


Best indication for me.

Report Swardean October 4, 2013 1:50 AM BST
Viva he is running out of pocket, he is fair game IMO
Report viva el presidente! October 4, 2013 1:52 AM BST
yeah, but helmet to helmet while he's sliding at that angle is just wrong. it's dangerous, and there's only one person getting hurt in that scenario so it's cowardly as well.

what did the comms say btw - I've got the sound down.
Report Swardean October 4, 2013 1:57 AM BST
Neither sky or NFL network really criticised the defends. Always a tough one as unlike some I am all for qb protection in the pocket
Report Kriskin October 4, 2013 1:58 AM BST
Good to see the No.1 QB on the field for the Browns
Report Kriskin October 4, 2013 1:58 AM BST
Bills are really hammering the Browns here
Report Kriskin October 4, 2013 1:59 AM BST
Will the Browns score tonite?
Report Mike-lfc October 4, 2013 2:00 AM BST
Really need it to stay 10-0 for my unders
Report Swardean October 4, 2013 2:07 AM BST
Great punt rtn from browns. Desperate for that
Report Swardean October 4, 2013 2:10 AM BST
Ridiculous hit
Report Kriskin October 4, 2013 2:11 AM BST
Weeden looks very poor this season
Report viva el presidente! October 4, 2013 2:12 AM BST
that's 2 deliberate dangerous helmet to helmets imo. think the browns D may retaliate when they get back on the field.
Report Mr Mischief October 4, 2013 2:34 AM BST

Oct 4, 2013 -- 1:41AM, Mike-lfc wrote:


How can you honestly justify backing Cleveland at those odds? Bills beat them last 2 times and have had just as good a start to the season. Gotta take 2.6x just for the odds alone (not aftertiming)


Post reported

Report Mr Mischief October 4, 2013 2:37 AM BST
Browns making hard work of finishing this drive
Report Mr Mischief October 4, 2013 2:38 AM BST
There it is 10-10
Report Mike-lfc October 4, 2013 2:38 AM BST
Why have a i been reported?
Report aaronh October 4, 2013 2:38 AM BST
Laugh
Report aaronh October 4, 2013 2:39 AM BST
Bills were an obviously lay at 10-0
Report wisewords October 4, 2013 2:39 AM BST
AARON KNOWS
Report liam1982 October 4, 2013 2:40 AM BST
Cleveland look a lot stronger here
Report Mr Mischief October 4, 2013 2:42 AM BST

Oct 4, 2013 -- 2:38AM, Mike-lfc wrote:


Why have a i been reported?


Laugh

Report Swardean October 4, 2013 2:44 AM BST
Tied game coming to HT. Should have greened my  bet. But good come back from browns.


WTF
Report wisewords October 4, 2013 2:45 AM BST
10-17 CLEVELAND
Report wisewords October 4, 2013 2:45 AM BST
FLIPPITY FLOP
Report Mr Mischief October 4, 2013 2:50 AM BST
The NFL already has it's play of the week. Betfair salutes you Travis Benjamin
Report Wallflower October 4, 2013 3:16 AM BST
Good night/morning all....slept on a bit longer  than anticipated.

Looks like, nice "baw" game we have here...Happy
Report liam1982 October 4, 2013 3:41 AM BST
how does anyone predict this game?
Report GoBallistic October 4, 2013 3:42 AM BST
Team which doesn't run out of QBs wins
Report wisewords October 4, 2013 3:59 AM BST
WHO'S YOUR MONEY ON
Report Wallflower October 4, 2013 4:04 AM BST
+11.13   Cleveland
-4.00    Bills

LaughLaughLaugh...at the moment.
Report Wallflower October 4, 2013 4:05 AM BST
Tough spot for the Bills since Manuel gone..........but 1.2 on Browns is a no-go for me. So bit "shtuck".

Hope Bills come back
Report Wallflower October 4, 2013 4:21 AM BST
Go Anthony McFarland!

Good analyst from what I've seen........just came straight out - didn't think London franchise would work. Right/wrong irrelevant, no pandering.
Report wisewords October 4, 2013 4:26 AM BST
2:19 to go
Report Wallflower October 4, 2013 4:32 AM BST
....a short QB career methinksSad
Report Mr Mischief October 4, 2013 4:38 AM BST

Oct 4, 2013 -- 1:41AM, Mike-lfc wrote:


How can you honestly justify backing Cleveland at those odds? Bills beat them last 2 times and have had just as good a start to the season. Gotta take 2.6x just for the odds alone (not aftertiming)


Justice works in mysterious waysCool

Report Mike-lfc October 4, 2013 5:01 AM BST
I'll put my hand up i was wrong. I was on unders anyway and that lost. Anyway i sed that 1.6 was too short. I didnt say it wasnt gonna happen.
Report DirkDiggler October 4, 2013 12:50 PM BST
ood analyst from what I've seen........just came straight out - didn't think London franchise would work. Right/wrong irrelevant, no pandering.


>>>He'll probably not be back then...


The players will never go for this idea, they won't want to play in London. I guarantee that. Let's say a FA has a choice between two teams, he's 28 he has a young family, one is in London
and one is in NY, where is he going to choose?


The UK fans are being sold this BS for marketing purposes. And it is working.
Report DirkDiggler October 4, 2013 5:19 PM BST
A very enjoyable game I thought. I think had both QB's stayed on the field all game, I think the Browns win easier. I really like the Browns' defense. I've seen a ton of these 'sudden success' type QB's come and go, but I really think Hoying could be something, he has a nice arm, gets the ball out very quick, makes quick decisions and can run.


Weedon might as well come and stand with me.
Report Mr Mischief October 4, 2013 5:52 PM BST
Hoyer out for the season torn ACL
Report DirkDiggler October 4, 2013 6:13 PM BST
Sad.
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