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db1974
18 Sep 13 10:54
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Date Joined: 08 Mar 07
| Topic/replies: 5,523 | Blogger: db1974's blog
Couple of lines stand out so far based on the first 2 games of the season

Falcons +2.0 @ Dolphins
I don't really understand how the Dolphins are favourites here. Even based on the 2 games so far I would still pick the Falcons over the Dolphins every time. Getting points is a bonus here.

Lions +1.5 @ Redskins
As above, I would have the Lions as the better team here although they do have a tendency to screw it up at times. The Redskins are really struggling to get anything going at the moment and getting the points are a bonus here again IMO.

Packers -2.0 @ Bengals
The Bengals defence is not that good that they are going to be able to stop the Packers from scoring a lot of points here - at least 30 I reckon and I can't see Andy Dalton et al living with them here.

Bears -2.0 @ Steelers
This is only the 6th time that the Steelers will be home underdogs in 11 seasons. They won 5 of those 6 games outright (only loss was the 13-10 defeat to Ravens last year). However, given the state of the franchise at the moment, it's hard to see them doing anything here, especially against a Bears defence that should be able to get to Big Ben almost at will.

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Replies: 231
By:
sideshowbob
When: 18 Sep 13 17:16
agree with the falcons. not looked at the odds, but presumed theyd be about 3 point favs.
watched both of their games so far, really inconsistent but still nearly beat the saints away and were in full control against the rams until they started going through the motions. admittedly, not seen much of the dolphins yet, but on paper they dont have the weapons atlanta have. hard to see miami running away with it, if they win it's likely to be by a few points. but its possible atlanta could roll them over. for that reason alone atlanta should really be the favourites.
By:
grayhawk
When: 18 Sep 13 19:00
Injuries will be influencing the Falcons line a little.......Steven Jackson out for 2-4 weeks and top linebacker Weatherspoon to that temporary IR as well as Biermann to the season IR....Asante Samuel possibly out as well.
By:
Hank Hill
When: 18 Sep 13 19:35
Has there ever been a home side in NFL that is over 20-1? Jags to go 0-16?
By:
ClayDavis
When: 18 Sep 13 20:41
I can't have the Bears at all - how on earth they are 2-0 I will never know. They should be 0-2 - very very lucky to have won both games
By:
d13phe
When: 18 Sep 13 21:21
i am also on the top 2 and cannot for the life of me understand the lines
By:
d13phe
When: 18 Sep 13 21:22
and i hadn't seen the Packers line Laugh

are they taking the Michael?
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 20 Sep 13 01:20
I don't recognise those lines, surely they've no shifted?
By:
db1974
When: 20 Sep 13 11:34
No they're all still there or thereabouts - maybe 0.5pt shift one way or the other in some of them. You can get Falcons +3.0 now which is a gift (albeit it at 5/6 instead of 10/11 but for an extra point I'd sacrifice some profit LaughWink)
By:
ahvanbasten
When: 20 Sep 13 18:24
The Falcons look a team to avoid this week... up against a frisky Dolphin D (9 sacks and 18 batted balls already). Atlanta can't run (with or without Jackson imo) and their star wide receivers are dinged up.

Their D is in even worse shape with the loss of Weatherspoon and Biermann.... they couldn't get to Bradford once last week (55 dropbacks.... count 'em!!), so I doubt Tannehill will be having any sleepless nights.

Miami 21-13 looks good to me Cool
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 21 Sep 13 03:00
Going to lump on the Pack moneyline.  Will look at bet365 handicap if Bengals score first.
By:
sideshowbob
When: 21 Sep 13 04:20
i imagine jagwahs beating seattle would be the shock of the century. seattle currently in the overrated category, dont get me wrong id have put em in the top 3 in the NFC before the season started but a win at home to the 49ers has tilted them over the edge a bit too much. no way that 1 win should have seen them drop from 11.0 to 7.0 for the superbowl. just like the 49ers win over the packers shouldnt have made them drop in similar fashion. that said, seattle are near invincible at home, jags are almost certainly the worst team in the league. nobody in their right mind would bet an nfl team at 1.04 before it even starts, but id be struggling to make a case for the jags with a 30pt handicap. Shocked

anybody seen the betfair handicaps? seem to have gone awol this week. unless my pc is going bandy.
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 21 Sep 13 11:49
You can get Falcons +3.0 now which is a gift (albeit it at 5/6 instead of 10/11 but for an extra point I'd sacrifice some profit LaughWink)


>>>I wouldn't touch the Falcons today, I don't like them on the road and they have injuries.

Packers are a far better bet. The Bengals aren't facing a team averaging 10 pts a game this week. Dalton was pretty awful last week, the little RB they had was the difference vs the Steelers, who are piss poor anyway.

Although the Saints contrived to let me down with my bet of the week last week, Saints -3. (Payton the teat took 3 points off the board at the end of 1st half) - I think Packers -2.5 is a stonking bet.
By:
d13phe
When: 22 Sep 13 12:23
gone for Lions, Packers, Falcons and Charges all on the handicap and be rude not to put it a 4 way.
By:
Swardean
When: 22 Sep 13 12:34
It is already must win game for both giants and panthers. Having watched all the games involving these two teams this season I think Carolina are must likely to break their duck. Only serious bet of the day for me. Panthers SU.

Will have an interest bet on the live games. good luck everyone today.
By:
d13phe
When: 22 Sep 13 12:35
i remember you were keen on the panthers.

Cam Newton is going to need to raise his game as he has been awful

think i would rather take Eli and his receivers tbh

Panthers D has been good though
By:
Swardean
When: 22 Sep 13 13:53
Agreed, Can can only get better, but the team hasn't been that bad. Kept it close against Seattle and were far better than bills last wk and really should have had a road win.

The defense is is OK and being led by your man Kuechly.

If they lose tonight, I will accept I was wrong about them, as I thought they had a chance of the division.

Seattle in eliminator tonight. Not many left if they or Denver get beat
By:
der_der_73
When: 22 Sep 13 15:25
I built this data table to help me with teams and how they do on the spreads. Need loads of work but gives you a quick snapshot of who are doing well and not so well on the spreads.

Thinking of putting points in to this as well!

http://eim-bi.com/nfl/index.cfm
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 22 Sep 13 15:26
Nice.
By:
Swagger
When: 22 Sep 13 15:33
Packers to beat the Bengals (I managed to get 4/5 M/L and have gone in again -2.5 points at 20/21 I think it was). I can only see Rogers having an absolute field day and think the defence will do enough to ensure a comfortable win for the Packers.
Steelers to beat the Bears (6/5). I agree with the overview by ClayDavies on another thread. I have also backed the Steelers to win the division at 5/1, they might kick start their season in this match and I don't it's a very strong division.

Double (pays around 5/2-11/4)
49ers (-9/5 points) I expect them to put last week behind them and take this convincingly
Cowboys (-3.5 points) I think the Cowboys will get the job here and almost be impressive Cool

Good luck chaps.
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 22 Sep 13 17:54
I have also backed the Steelers to win the division at 5/1, they might kick start their season in this match and I don't it's a very strong division.


>>>That's money you'll never see again mate, I guarantee you that!


Cry
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 22 Sep 13 18:34
Packers having a mare and I've gone in heavy.  Thank God we are still in the 1st!
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 22 Sep 13 18:48
Yeah, looks like my bet of the week flops again, thank god I only had it in an acca. This is the last leg, I had three college games last night.
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 22 Sep 13 18:54
14-3 Hawk recovers fumble could be 14-10 soon.
By:
d13phe
When: 22 Sep 13 18:58
The Giants have been absolutely awful

they are beaten

just need newton to manage the game
By:
d13phe
When: 22 Sep 13 18:59
Benglas turning the ball over for fun
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 22 Sep 13 19:00
14-10 Cincy, GB fum rec for TD.
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 22 Sep 13 19:01
Lovely, let's have this acca in. Play with house money for a while then.
By:
grayhawk
When: 22 Sep 13 19:02
What a play by Matthews.
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 22 Sep 13 19:04
Omg glad I didn't jump off the bridge!

Comedy central at Cincinatti.  After you Claude.  Packers gift 2 TD's and Bengals doing their best to return the favour but Packers saying no no no, you go then finally they can't turn down another gift turnover TD on third straight TO from Bengals!

Mortimer we are back in businessLaugh
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 22 Sep 13 19:06
another TO by Bengals!Laugh
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 22 Sep 13 19:07
LOL!!! Tinothy Dalton fumbles again!!!
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 22 Sep 13 19:08
4 TO's in 9 offensive plays by Bengals and I was worried by packers giving it away!
By:
d13phe
When: 22 Sep 13 19:13
some poor play calling from Green Bay
By:
DirkDiggler
When: 22 Sep 13 19:13
Brand new ball game now.

Doesn't look like Rodgers is getting any time though.
By:
d13phe
When: 22 Sep 13 19:24
rodgers gone to quick mode
By:
Swardean
When: 22 Sep 13 19:35
Shaping up to bee a god one in Washington.
By:
d13phe
When: 22 Sep 13 19:39
good shout on panthers

giants have been absolutely woeful

not sure cam newton will take them very far this season though
By:
Swardean
When: 22 Sep 13 19:45
So far so good, they have totally dominated and shut elk down. Agreed defence doing the bulk of the work. Trading out now. Good luck with faLcons later.
By:
Swardean
When: 22 Sep 13 20:11
Guess harry will be happy with the Houston result! :-)
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