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db1974
19 Dec 12 09:34
Joined:
Date Joined: 08 Mar 07
| Topic/replies: 5,523 | Blogger: db1974's blog
Christmas Bonus time for the bookies this week as I attempt to repair some of the damage done by my 5-13 record over the last 3 weeks, after going 13-5 over the previous 4 weeks. On the bright side, I am able to get a sense of what it's like to be Jay Cutler and Tony Romo in December!

Anyway, 3 bets for me this week, all of which happen to be on the live matches on our screens this weekend

Steelers -4.0 vs Bengals
Tough loss for the Steelers last week where they didn't really play all that well but still managed to hang around long enough only for Big Ben to throw a disastrous INT at the start of OT and the Cowboys got the win at home. The Bengals have a far better record than their play suggests and I just can't see them going to Pittsburgh and doing the business against a Steelers team who couldn't have their backs so far up against the wall at this stage they are nearly part of the paint! You'd have to think that the Steelers are counting themselves lucky that they are still in this competition having lost 4 of the last 5 and I think they will be able to do the business and win the last 2 and scrape into the playoffs. This is effectively playoff football in the AFC North now and there's few better than the Steelers when it comes to the crunch.

Giants -2.5 @ Ravens
Got both these teams badly wrong last week when they both got a hiding in games where the spread was just 3 points. It's all about who can bounce back from a defeat like that and still stay focused with the last 2 weeks of regular season left. I favour the Giants here because they are the type of team who can put in a bad performance one week and just shrug their shoulders and come out all guns blazing the following week while the Ravens just seem to be in a slump at this stage and can't even fall over the finishing line

49ers +1.0 @ Seahawks (line at Bet265)
Eh ... what! Game of the Week undoubtedly but I would have expected this to be the line before we saw the 49ers travel to Boston and beat the Patriots, despite getting an almighty scare in the last 20 minutes. This was a massively impressive performance and one which rightly shot them to the head of the Superbowl market. The Seahawks are a formidable team at home but the last 2 weeks have flattered them a little, with huge victories over the Cardinals and Bills. Things won't be as easy this week and I am more impressed with the 49ers wins on the road against the Packers, Saints, & Patriots than I am with the Seahawks home record.


Incidently, the League must have breathed a huge sigh of relief after the 49ers beat the Patriots last week and all but ensured that the Seahawks won't win the NFC West. There was a very possible scenario brewing whereby if the Seahawks won the West and tied with the Packers on 11-5, then the Seahawks would have gotten the No.2 seed ahead of the Packers by virtue of their controversial victory in Week 3.
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Report Swardean December 24, 2012 2:50 AM GMT
Come one the beast
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 2:51 AM GMT
always raining in seattle...Went there once and it was raining then.
Report Sudoku_Junior December 24, 2012 2:52 AM GMT
Didnt get all of my GB back at 8's matched. Gutted.
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 2:52 AM GMT
WHO IS NUMBER 1 DFENCE ?
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 2:54 AM GMT
Been to see seattle against  39ers and nearly blow the lead so nothing for granted here
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 2:55 AM GMT
one of these 2 teams lol...seattle havent lost a game by more than  7 pts...they have had the easier schedule though
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 2:56 AM GMT
seattle schedule way over 5.0 harry innit.  But i havent checked
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 2:56 AM GMT
harder schedule for the niners just because of the away games thay have had..you couldnt hand pick the seahawks road games much better
Report ClayDavis December 24, 2012 2:56 AM GMT
smith is a good game manager
Report Sudoku_Junior December 24, 2012 2:57 AM GMT
Cowboys are a massive price at 60's
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 2:58 AM GMT
not 25pts down he isnt....randy moss is wasted in this team
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 2:59 AM GMT
they were 75s or bigger earlier...already had £30 on them few month ago at 85s...may not look so bad when they **** all over the skins next week
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:00 AM GMT
39ers have NOWHERE to go
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:01 AM GMT
did someone mock akers earlier??still has it
Report Shazza93 December 24, 2012 3:02 AM GMT
Can't deny he's had a poor season, but any sort of form now is good for post season.
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:03 AM GMT
it would be a great game if they met post season in SF.  SF - 2
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:03 AM GMT
sf -2 at home?
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:04 AM GMT
yes, what would you say ?
Report Sudoku_Junior December 24, 2012 3:05 AM GMT
Probably agree.
Report Sudoku_Junior December 24, 2012 3:06 AM GMT
Maybe -4
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:06 AM GMT
what would I say... I would say 'can you offer me than now please if the game happens' Grin
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:07 AM GMT
All hypothetical of course harry
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:08 AM GMT
of course...reckon it would stretch to -3 to -3.5 but I have been wrong before Grin
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:09 AM GMT
Not much in the last meeting at candlestick park....
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:11 AM GMT
it was dead even until last 7 mins
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:13 AM GMT
I havent got the seahawks on side in my superbowl book...not quite sure why I didnt get on when they were around 50s...stupid really
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:14 AM GMT
gore started to wear them down
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:15 AM GMT
Not really a trader on the SB market,   I just bet week to week.  However, massive greens on NYG, SS and NEP
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:16 AM GMT
Gore can have a great half but question is can 39ers stop seaatle?
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:18 AM GMT
i meant gore wore them down in the last game...no chance now


seattle 11/1 for the superbowl lol...now that is just silly.
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:19 AM GMT
I am on at 80s and 50s  but not keen to cash out just yet
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:20 AM GMT
conservative start
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:21 AM GMT
was just looking to see if I could get a half decent price on them but 11/1 is taking the piss
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:21 AM GMT
lol wilson
Report milla445 December 24, 2012 3:22 AM GMT
First time I've seen Wilson play outside a highlight reel - the boy can move Shocked
Report GoBallistic December 24, 2012 3:22 AM GMT
Wilson doesn't look that quick (compared to say Kaepernick) but nobody can lay a glove on him
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:24 AM GMT
someone will
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:26 AM GMT
great throw to crabtree
Report Sudoku_Junior December 24, 2012 3:26 AM GMT
Falcons are at 8s, with a game less to play and home field. Seahawks at 11 doesnt make sense.
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:27 AM GMT
sea
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:27 AM GMT
I backed atlanta today....
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:27 AM GMT
seattle D is number 1
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:30 AM GMT
Me too harry, just got falcons and seattle in nfc
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:30 AM GMT
should be a flag on that manningham play if they flagged the double team niners tackle
Report Lufc86 December 24, 2012 3:31 AM GMT
2 more yards for the Crabtree bet to come in

Don't get injured please
Report ClayDavis December 24, 2012 3:32 AM GMT
these zebras are a disgrace
Report Shazza93 December 24, 2012 3:33 AM GMT
Niners barely had a decent call. All over the place too.
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:34 AM GMT
Bollox the refs,  29ers have been owned.  Suck it up clay
Report ClayDavis December 24, 2012 3:37 AM GMT
rubbish. hasn't been a fair contest
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:37 AM GMT
Joined: 30 Mar 12 | Topic/replies: 74 | Blogger: Lufc86's blog
2 more yards for the Crabtree bet to come in

Don't get injured please

already had vernon davis denied...this will just cap it all off if he doesnt get one more catch
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:39 AM GMT
niners went 14-0 down very quickly..hence gore only having 5 carries...game plan probably blown apart in minutes
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:43 AM GMT
GAM
Report ClayDavis December 24, 2012 3:44 AM GMT
seahawks have zero chance in the post season FACT
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:45 AM GMT
going to be fun and games in the playoffs....You could say all the playoff games look like they will be competitive.
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:46 AM GMT
ClayDavis 24 Dec 12 03:44 Joined: 07 Sep 10 | Topic/replies: 4,097 | Blogger: ClayDavis's blog
seahawks have zero chance in the post season FACT

sheettttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttttt..bold statement..away to dallas or washington is hardly intimidating although a road games is a road game and will be tough whoever you play.
Report Swardean December 24, 2012 3:46 AM GMT
clay no one has said they have.  2 weeks you have had 2 embarrassing threads
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:48 AM GMT
senator davis the playoffs can throw up funny results
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:52 AM GMT
frank gore has been top draw this season...not a factor in this game with the score being as it is
Report Lufc86 December 24, 2012 3:54 AM GMT
Did you take the Crabtree bet Harry?
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:55 AM GMT
yes and the randy moss bet and the vernon davis bet,,,david would have made it if he wasnt out of the game.
Report Lufc86 December 24, 2012 3:56 AM GMT
What was the line on vernon??

Around 45 I'd guess
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 24, 2012 3:58 AM GMT
49'ers will be one and done in the play offs this year  with Kapernick starting
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:58 AM GMT
Aiming for 2/3 now..moss is in
Report ClayDavis December 24, 2012 3:59 AM GMT
seahawks are mugs fact
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 3:59 AM GMT
35.5 vernon.
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 24, 2012 4:00 AM GMT
mugs lol won the last 3 games by 129 points
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 4:00 AM GMT
foolish to read too much into this result...not the first time the niners have put in a poor game...take the 2 rams games.
Report Lufc86 December 24, 2012 4:01 AM GMT
That's bad luck with him getting injured
Report HARRY22 December 24, 2012 4:01 AM GMT
yes..the sick thing is the play he was injured on he caught the pass but didnt hang on..that would have been over the yards needed
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 24, 2012 4:04 AM GMT
Glad I didn't get involved here I would have backed SF more than likely, demoition on both sides of the ball
Report ClayDavis December 24, 2012 4:05 AM GMT
remember the Packers had these mugs well and truly beat until the Zebras stepped in? And the Packers weren't playing well at the time
Report GoBallistic December 24, 2012 4:07 AM GMT
49ers have a bad game then two good ones, all season. So out in the NFC Champs game again
Report Lufc86 December 24, 2012 4:09 AM GMT
Come then Crabtree

One reception should do it
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 24, 2012 4:13 AM GMT
lot of muffed punts and kick off today
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 24, 2012 4:13 AM GMT
and 2 blocked fg's returned for td's as well
Report milla445 December 24, 2012 4:14 AM GMT
Wouldn't like to be a Niners player tonight - Harbaugh looks ready to kick the **** out of someone.
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 24, 2012 4:15 AM GMT
can only blame himself imo
Report Lufc86 December 24, 2012 4:19 AM GMT
Throw to Crabtree ffs
Report milla445 December 24, 2012 4:20 AM GMT
When BF offered the individul markets I always seemed to end up a couple yards short - I feel your pain Sad
Report Lufc86 December 24, 2012 4:24 AM GMT
Gone 90 yards here and he hasn't looked at him once

So frustrating
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 24, 2012 4:28 AM GMT
Seattle fans should give a huge ironic cheer for that td
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 24, 2012 4:32 AM GMT
they put Flynn in the game just too take a knee, handy way to earn millions of dollars
Report Swagger December 24, 2012 9:05 AM GMT
Great result for the Pack with 49ers getting turned over. Difficult match next week but # 2 seed is theres for the taking now. Bit of an over reaction the 49ers being pushed out to 9/1 on the back of that unless they suffered several serious injuries from last night. So it could be either Washington/Dallas/Seahawks at home for the Pack then either Atalanta or 49ers. The Pack are coming on strong and if they got the bye week i would make them favs to make the superbowl from the NFC
Report Swagger December 24, 2012 9:06 AM GMT
theirs for the taking in proper English Excited
Report d13phe December 26, 2012 10:17 PM GMT
some very interesting lines for week 17

Green Bay -3
Bengals -1
Texans -7
Report Swagger December 27, 2012 1:09 AM GMT
d13phe - out of respect i'm waiting for you to start the week 17 thread as you always start it up and i like reading your post before i post mine. I like the New Orleans Saints to cover the spread this week. The Panthers were pretty lucky to hold on against Oakland and the Saints will want to sign off the season in style.

Which lines to you like from the 3 matches you list above?
Report d13phe December 27, 2012 1:11 AM GMT
wrong chap swagger

its db that usually starts that thread which is why i havent posted a new one.

its good to keep the continuity i think
Report Swardean December 27, 2012 1:16 AM GMT
Strange how different people reach different conclusions.  I have Panthers +5.5 as my strongest bet of the week.  Also backing them SU.
Report Swagger December 27, 2012 1:16 AM GMT
Sorry pal, i always get you both confused! I think it was you and Harry who i first started chatting to on here, you are the dallas fan am i right? Yes i agree regarding the continuity.
Report d13phe December 27, 2012 1:17 AM GMT
not a game i would touch

i fancy the Pack to beat the spread

the Ravens to turn the bengals over and the Colts to beat the spread
Report d13phe December 27, 2012 1:18 AM GMT
shhhhh

keep the dallas fan thing quiet Grin
Report Swardean December 27, 2012 1:21 AM GMT
If Pack can cover the spread this week even I may start to believe d13Shocked

But I cant see it happening.
Report Swagger December 27, 2012 1:22 AM GMT
Well its all comes down to personal opinions Swardean that's what it's all about. The main match i watched last week was the Panthers match against Oakland as i had my biggest bet riding on the Panthers for a treble and i personally thought the Panthers were poor offensively and were pretty lucky to win, the Defense got lucky a few times simply due to ill discipline from the Raiders who should really have won the game. Obviously different match ups and maybe i'm wrong and the Saints Defense will get pumped by Newton but i thought the Saints Offence would have an absolute field day with confidence running high so it will be interesting
Report d13phe December 27, 2012 1:23 AM GMT
the pack have got nearly everything in place now for me swardean

the best QB in the league

a D who can turn the ball over and a run game that you nearly have to respect.

they are a team to fear imo.
Report Swagger December 27, 2012 1:27 AM GMT
I agree regarding the Ravens, i thought they would turnover the Bengals as well. I have cained the Ravens in the past this season but they were good last week and I think the Bengals basically made the play offs by default as the Steelers threw it away.
I also thought the Patriots would pump the Dolphins this weekend but hadn't checked the spread yet
Report Swagger December 27, 2012 1:30 AM GMT
Although in saying that it's a divisional match up which someone posted stats on normally being close
Report Swagger December 27, 2012 1:31 AM GMT
As in the Patriots/Dolphins match
Report Swardean December 27, 2012 1:31 AM GMT
Think we have had this conversation before.  For me they still cant run the ball or protect Rodgers well enough.  However, there is not a team in the league that doesnt have issues and it comes down on how any one performs on a specific week.

You have to take them seriously in the position they are in, but Sunday is a massive test with everything on the line for Vikes.  Will see how they cope with AP
Report Swagger December 27, 2012 1:40 AM GMT
I think AP got a knock last week and probably won't be 100% against the Packers which would obviously be a huge blow
Report ClayDavis December 27, 2012 8:52 AM GMT
You have to be careful guys about who needs what and how. Will the Pats rest players? Have they accepted they will be Number 3 seeds? Why will the Ravens try against the Bengals when they won the Division last week and they have a play off game coming up, prob against the Colts.

The Giants in the past few weeks have looked a mess and I'm not convinced they will beat the Eagles. The Eagles have a good record against them and they are fighting for Reid just now. They were unlucky not to take the game against the Redskins in to Overtime last week. I fancy the Eagles on the spread big time
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