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I see a good few bookies have these out
I haven't looked at them all but one early one that stands out is Miami Dolphins 33/20 with Bet365 for Over 7.5 wins
IMO the Dolphins are an 8-8 team who just haven't had the luck the last couple of seasons to actually get to that figure. Last season they finished 6-10 but 5 of those losses were by 3 points or less, matches which can go either way on a given Sunday. In 2010 they finished 7-9 and again 3 matches were lost by 3 points or less.
Realistically, with the Jets is disarray (Tebow? FFS) and the Bills coming down from a high after last year's fast start, the Fins should go at least 3-3 in the division and maybe better if the Patriots don't need a win in Week 17 at the Razor.
In addition to this they also get to play Raiders, Rams, Titans, Seahawks, & Jaguars at home with road games against Texans (Week 1), Cardinals, Bengals, Colts, & 49ers
The games against the Texans & 49ers are a blessing to be on the road because they probably would have lost those at home anyway but it leaves 5 easier home games which are all winnable.
I can see this being tight with the Fins finishing anywhere between 6-10 to 10-6 but this means that the odds should really be closer to 1/1 and not nearly 7/4 that we are getting with Bet365
I haven't looked at them all but one early one that stands out is Miami Dolphins 33/20 with Bet365 for Over 7.5 wins
IMO the Dolphins are an 8-8 team who just haven't had the luck the last couple of seasons to actually get to that figure. Last season they finished 6-10 but 5 of those losses were by 3 points or less, matches which can go either way on a given Sunday. In 2010 they finished 7-9 and again 3 matches were lost by 3 points or less.
Realistically, with the Jets is disarray (Tebow? FFS) and the Bills coming down from a high after last year's fast start, the Fins should go at least 3-3 in the division and maybe better if the Patriots don't need a win in Week 17 at the Razor.
In addition to this they also get to play Raiders, Rams, Titans, Seahawks, & Jaguars at home with road games against Texans (Week 1), Cardinals, Bengals, Colts, & 49ers
The games against the Texans & 49ers are a blessing to be on the road because they probably would have lost those at home anyway but it leaves 5 easier home games which are all winnable.
I can see this being tight with the Fins finishing anywhere between 6-10 to 10-6 but this means that the odds should really be closer to 1/1 and not nearly 7/4 that we are getting with Bet365
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I was also tempted to take on the Jets 8.5 line but as their schedule is similar I think they will probably get over that line, plus best odds are 5/4 so not enough profit there for me.
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