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orioles
31 May 12 20:18
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Date Joined: 26 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 9,509 | Blogger: orioles's blog
Those of you who look at my BF blog (both of you!) will know that this is mostly an opportunity to laugh at an old man, but as we aren't getting much baseball traffic on the forum, I thought I'd post some system bets to perhaps stimulate a little interest..

There will be three systems, cunningly labelled A, B, C. Two ML systems and a totals system.

Enjoy Happy

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Replies: 96
By:
orioles
When: 31 May 12 20:22
A - No bet
B - No bet
C - Detroit/Boston Under 9 @ 2.00
By:
Nilsson Schmilsson
When: 01 Jun 12 09:51
Cry
By:
orioles
When: 01 Jun 12 14:11
Miggy did me right up the ninth Plain
By:
orioles
When: 01 Jun 12 21:54
A
LAA @ 2.05
Min @ 2.2

B
NYM @ 2.02
Sea @ 2.15
LAD @ 2.02

C
Fla/Phi U 8.5 @ 2.0
Atl/Was U 7.5 @ 1.91
Yank/Det U 8.5 @ 1.87
Bos/Tor U 9.5 @ 1.95
StL/NYM U 7 @ 2.1
Cin/Hou U 8.5 @ 2.0
Oak/KC U 7.5 @ 1.87
LAD/Col U 10 @ 2.00
Ari/SD O 6.5 @ 2.0
ChC/SF O 7 @ 2.1

(0-1, -1)
By:
Wilkesy
When: 01 Jun 12 22:41
I wish you the best of luck Uncle O. Are these all singles?

Ive placed a couple of accers tonight:


SF, Ari, Col, KC & Tex

CWS, Bos, Cle, TB, NYY

I am very shrewd xx
By:
orioles
When: 01 Jun 12 22:53
All singles, but bunging them in an acca will make you rich, rich, RICH!

I think the Totals system may be garbage lol. It's an old system that did quite well iirc that I've tried to remember, but I'm not sure I've got it right. I think it's missing a 'gateway' criterion.

I am not shrewd and already regretting this little exercise ... that lot took me an hour Laugh
By:
Wilkesy
When: 02 Jun 12 15:42
Well, one accer came in :).

Going for another tonight Dave:

TB, CWS, Philly, KC & Bos

I have no system. I pick 4/5 teams i like regardless of odds (which will prob invoke anger in some forumites!)

Good luck tonight Dave if you are betting.
By:
xnada
When: 02 Jun 12 16:12
What is the system Orioles? how do you make your selections?
By:
Reg Blood
When: 02 Jun 12 16:58
Go on then. I'll have a go as well

Jays/Tigers/Twins/Rangers

Uncle O's birds/Mariners/Dodgers/Astros

Good luck to the best pin sticker
By:
orioles
When: 02 Jun 12 17:07
Nice one, G Happy

The systems are secret, $xnada!

A
Pit @ 2.35
Min @ 2.27
Det @ 2.05
Ari @ 2.00

(1-1, +0.05)

B
Atl @ 2.1
LAA @ 2.00

(1-2, -0.98)

C
Oak/KC O 9.0 @ 1.91
Mia/Phi U 7.5 @ 1.95
Yank/Det U 9.5 @ 1.87
Atl/Was U 6.5 @ 2.05
Sea/CWS U 9 @ 1.83
Pit/Mil U 7.5 @ 1.83
StL/NYM U 7.5 @ 1.95
LAD/Col U 10.5 @ 2.00
ChC/SF O 6.5 @ 2.10
Min/Cle O 9 @ 2.05

(4-4-1,  -0.18)
By:
orioles
When: 03 Jun 12 14:54
A
Bos @ 2.05
Bal @ 2.30
Mia @ 1.95
Oak @ 2.15
Min @ 2.30
Pit @ 2.0
LAD @ 2.12
ChC @ 2.38
SD @ 2.07
NYM @ 1.99

(4-2, +2.37)

B
Mia @ 1.95

(2-3, -0.98)

C
Bal/TB Over 7.5 @ 1.91
Sea/CWS Under 8.0 @ 2.00

(12-7-1, +4.53)
By:
orioles
When: 05 Jun 12 18:06
A
Cle @ 2.45
TB @ 2.16
Bal @ 2.42
Tor @ 1.96
Min @ 2.15
Sea @ 2.39
Pit @ 2.38
Hou @ 2.30
Col @ 2.38

(8-8, +0.97

B
TB @ 2.16
Bal @ 2.42

(3-3, -0.03)

C
ChC/Mil Over 7 @ 1.83
Min/KC Under 8.5 @ 2.05
Col/Ari Over 9.5 @ 1.91
SF/SD Over 6 @ 2.00

(14-7-1, +6.44)
By:
orioles
When: 06 Jun 12 15:04
A
TB @ 2.32
CWS @ 2.08
Min @ 2.47
Sea @ 2.41
Oak @ 2.38
LAD @ 2.03
Atl @ 2.4
Hou @ 2.25
Col @ 2.25

(13-12, +3.48)

B
LAD @ 2.03

(4-4, +0.39)

C
Cle/Det Over 9 @ 2.1
TB/NYY Over 9 @ 1.91
Tex/Oak Under 7.5 @ 1.91

(18-7-1, +10.23)
By:
orioles
When: 07 Jun 12 16:03
A
Cle @ 2.1
Bal @ 2.35
Was @ 2.13
ChC @ 2.05
Pit @ 2.49
Atl @ 2.26

(18-16, +6.17

B
No selection

(5-4, +1.42)

C
Cubs/Mil Under 7.5 @ 2.00
TB/NYY Over 8 @ 2.1
Pit/Cin Uner 8.5 @ 1.91

(20-8-1, +11.24)
By:
orioles
When: 08 Jun 12 16:12
A
NYM @ 2.2
Hou @ 2.29
ChC @ 2.22
SF @ 2.25
KC @ 2.25
Det @ 2.26
TB @ 2.03
SD @ 2.46
Cle @ 2.33
Oak @ 2.35

(20-20, +4.92)

B
NYM @ 2.2
TB @ 2.03

(5-4, +1.42)

C
KC/Pit Over 7 @ 1.87
Det/Cin Under 9 @ 2.00
SD/Mil Under 8 @ 1.91
Tex/SF Under 7.5 @ 1.91

(22-9-1, +12.34)
By:
themightymac
When: 08 Jun 12 22:34
Good to see the system back up and running. Obviously, can`t bet them all but quite lucky picking the right ones. Tampa and Mets tonight? both in A & b

Santana through a lot of pitches last start though with his "no hitter"
By:
orioles
When: 08 Jun 12 22:52
Cheers Happy

There have been 4 'dual qualifiers', MM (I've got all the lingo lol) and they've gone 3-1 (+2.4) - although obviously that's not a significant sample size.
By:
orioles
When: 09 Jun 12 15:52
A
Bal @ 2.12
NYM @ 2.38
Cle @ 2.28

(23-27, +1.57)

B
No picks

(6-5, +1.45)

C
Tor/Atl Over 8.5 @ 2.1
Phi/Bal Under 9.5 @ 1.91
SD/Mil Under 9 @ 1.95
Det/Cin Under 7.5 @ 1.91
KC/Pit Over 7 @ 1.87

(23-12-1, +9.25)
By:
orioles
When: 10 Jun 12 14:26
A
Was @ 2.29
Hou @ 2.45
SD @ 2.45
Cle @ 2.01
LAA @ 2.07
SF @ 2.2
Sea @ 2.0

(24-29, +0.69)

B
KC @ 2.17

(6-5, +1.45)

C
Tor/Atl Over 8.5 @ 2.0
Phi/Bal Under 8 @ 2.05
Hou/CHW Under 9.5 @ 2.0
Oak/Ari Under 9 @ 2.0

(26-14-1, +9.98)
By:
orioles
When: 12 Jun 12 16:06
A
Was @ 2.38
Min 2.05
ChC 2.19

(28-32, +3.51)

B
No picks

(6-6, +0.45)

C
Pit/Bal Under 8.5 @ 1.95
Cle/Cin Over 8.5 @ 1.91
NYY/Atl Over 8 @ 1.91
Bos/Mia Over 8 @ 2.0
Ari/Tex Over 10 @ 2.15
Det/ChC Under 8 @ 1.91
Phi/Min Under 9 @ 2.00

(28-16-1, +9.98)
By:
orioles
When: 13 Jun 12 16:30
A
Cle @ 2.3
Bos @ 2.0
Det @ 2.0
Mil @ 2.01
Oak @ 2.01
SD @ 2.38

(31-32, +7.13)

B
Ari @ 2.51
CHW @ 2.21

(6-6, +0.45)

C
Pit/Bal Under 9 @ 1.87
Cle/Cin Over 9 @ 1.91
Bos/Mia Over 8.5 @ 1.83
CHW/StL Over 8 @ 2.0
Oak/Col Under 11 @ 1.95
SD/Sea Over 8 @ 2.0

(30-20-2, +7.8)
By:
orioles
When: 14 Jun 12 15:53
A
Cle @ 2.15
Oak @ 2.0
Hou @ 2.2
KC @ 2.12
Phi @ 2.31
CHW @ 2.2
SD @ 2.21

(35-34, +9.52)

B
Mets @ 2.13

(6-8, -1.55)

C
Cle/Cin Over 9 @ 1.95
Mil/KC Over 8.5 @ 1.91
Phi/Min Over 9 @ 1.9

(32-24-2, +5.5)
By:
orioles
When: 15 Jun 12 16:12
A
CHC @ 2.06
Phi @ 2.13
Min @ 2.05
Ari @ 2.47

(40-36, +13.36)

B
Mia @ 2.3
CHW @ 2.17

(7-8, -0.55)

C
Cin/NYM Under 8 @ 2.0
Mia/TB Under 7.5 @ 2.15
Hou/Tex Under 10 @ 1.91
Mil/Min Over 8.5 @ 1.91
Ari/LAA Over 7 @ 1.91
SF/Sea Under 7 @ 1.83
CHW/LAD Over 5.5 @ 1.83

(33-26-2, +4.45)
By:
orioles
When: 16 Jun 12 17:52
A
Phi @ 1.96
Mil @ 2.09
KC @ 2.23
Col @ 2.43
CHC @ 2.35
Cin @ 2.00
Ari @ 2.23

(42-38, +13.89)

B
Phi @ 1.96
KC @ 2.2
Bal @ 2.41
Mia @ 2.23

(7-10, -2.55)

C
Mil/Min Over 9.5 @ 2.0
Col/Det Under 9 @ 1.95
Cin/NYM Under 8 @ 1.95
Mia/TB Under 7.5 @ 1.91
Ari/LAA Over 8 @ 1.83

(36-30-2, +3.02)
By:
orioles
When: 17 Jun 12 16:51
A
Pit @ 2.25
Phi @ 2.23
Bal @ 2.1
TB @ 2.08
Ari @ 2.15
CWS @ 2.1
SF @ 2.05
ChC @ 2.12

(44-43, +10.98)

B
Bal @ 2.1
Was @ 2.06
SF @ 2.05

(9-12, -1.91)

C
Bal/Atl Over 8.5 @ 2.05
Mil/Min Over 8.5 @ 2.0
SD/Oak Under 8 @ 2.0

(39-32-2, +3.83)
By:
Jontyblade
When: 17 Jun 12 19:44
really enjoy reading your tips each night orioles, the more and more i bet on baseball ( which is alot! ) the more i believe not to look at the price of the team you fancy to win. if you fancy them, back them irrespective of the price - unless they're stupidly short.
By:
orioles
When: 17 Jun 12 20:29
Have look at my blog, JB (not so much for the picks lol) I try to give a sense of how to look at a game.
By:
Jontyblade
When: 17 Jun 12 20:49
That's an interesting read. If I'm honest, I'm surprised that backing unders / overs is something that can be profitable long term. Particularly when backing unders as one swing of the bat can add 4 runs to the score.

I place alot ( probably too much ) emphasis on the pitchers, and apart from the odd blowout ( last night for example ) i do quite well.

i'm a phillies fan and opposing them this season has been rather profitable
By:
Jontyblade
When: 17 Jun 12 20:59
tonight i went for

reds
yankees
orioles
tigers
cards
dodgers
rays
brewers
rangers
angels
giants

i usually back singles and also do doubles and trebles
By:
orioles
When: 17 Jun 12 21:00
The pitchers are the key, as you say. You can get as complex as you like with a game like baseball, because there are stats for almost every element of the game. However, baseball really is an 'anything can happen' game, so trying to read a game in too much detail is a ticket to the madhouse.

Interestingly, many experienced baseball bettors believe that betting the total is the easiest bet.

The Phillies have killed me this season Silly
By:
Jontyblade
When: 17 Jun 12 21:08
to be fair to the phils, losing utley and howard is huge. But the bookies see Halladay or Lee on the mound and instantly the phils are 1/2 - 2/5 to win the game. The only time I back the Phils with any confidence is when Hamels is on the mound.

do you get involved in outright markets or just bet day by day?
By:
utc
When: 18 Jun 12 00:17
tonight i went for

reds       w
yankees    w
orioles    w
tigers     w
cards      Lost in the 15th
dodgers    w
rays       w
brewers    pending
rangers    w
angels     w
giants     pending


Guess that's what you call a good night Jonty.  Brilliant stuff.
By:
themightymac
When: 18 Jun 12 18:59
Brewers and Giants both beat by a run. Still 8 out of 11 is some picking, hard enough to get a Single. U must have crystal balls Crazy
By:
orioles
When: 18 Jun 12 21:41
... or he may be picking three hours after first pitch! Laugh

A

KC @ 2.05
ChC @ 2.17
SF @ 1.98

(47-48, +9.41)

B
SF @ 1.98

(10-14, -2.81)

C
Atl/NYY Over 8.5 @ 1.91
Bal/NYM Over 7 @ 2.0
Sea/Ari Over 9 @ 1.95

(41-33-2, +4.83)
By:
Jontyblade
When: 18 Jun 12 22:17
Thanks UTC and mightymac, bearing in mind the cards were 2-1 up against the royals in the 9th and the Royals had 2 out and 2 strikes then thwack. 2-2! could have been an even better night, still can't complain too much. Especially as the reds and dodgers both came from behind.

Orioles, if you like I'll copy and paste the bet history from where I stuck them on. I only stuck the selections on as I'd got into that conversation with you. I did well last night, certainly better than Saturday night when i got 1 out of 8 right!

just 3 tonight for me, Yankees Mets and Reds
By:
orioles
When: 18 Jun 12 22:24
No sweat, I wasn't having a go at you. Happy
By:
Jontyblade
When: 18 Jun 12 22:25
(J Cueto & Chris Young must start) CIN Reds @ 25/33
(Ivan Nova & Edwin Jackson must start) NY Yankees @ 25/29
(Wei-Yin Chen & R Delgado must start) BAL Orioles @ 11/10
(J Guthrie & M Scherzer must start) DET Tigers @ 100/171
(L Mendoza & Adam Wainwright must start) STL Cardinals @ 100/187
(Jose Quintana & C Capuano must start) LA Dodgers @ 20/23
(Josh Johnson & A Cobb must start) TB Rays @ 27/25
(Zack Greinke & Nick Blackburn must start) MIL Brewers @ 20/31
(D Keuchel & Colby Lewis must start) TEX Rangers @ 20/43
(I Kennedy & Garrett Richards must start) LA Angels @ 100/123
(M Bumgarner & Felix Hernandez must start) SF Giants @ 101/100

17/06/2012 15:58:24
Doubles, 55 bets * £1.00
By:
Jontyblade
When: 18 Jun 12 22:27
i was copying and pasting the proof while you were replying lol

i tend to have a good crack at the baseball saturdays and sundays as i've got more time on my hands. With the doubles etc, getting as little as 5 or 6 out of 11 more or less pays for it all. And as you know, some nights it is possible to get them nearly all right.
By:
Jontyblade
When: 19 Jun 12 08:23
bloody cincinnatti!
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