week 13 lines - picks

Texans +8.5 if asante samuel is missing

ravens -3

The jags were my 3rd pick...just noticed nobody dare price it up,either moneyline or spread...even vegas holding things up...any reason why?

Presumably no odds until we here confirmation re Titans QB situation

Just seen something regarding chris johnson so possibly that situation also...im tempted by the jags for the south at 4/1...think dallas could beat indy the way they are banged u..will wait to see who is playing for the colts sunday

I'm struggling with the handicap lines this week, I like a few of the overs though

bollox to it im taking the texans 8.5 with or without samuel playing..pushed the jets and a shutout last week..surely they keep it close.   eagles by 8 will be a pleasing result

Done some studying tonight, best line I can come up with is the Packers -9.
Pack D is decent and with Gore done for the season I'm not sure how they get an ageing Westbrook to perform as feature back, the Packers line will get plenty of pressure on Smith, Clay Matthews has been a beat this season, he should force mistakes and the Pack are tough to beat through the air.
31 sacks for the Packers line this season.

Bears line has been backed all day, I've got a sneak the Lions can stay close in this but I'm not usually a fan of swimming against the tide.

Overs in Chargers/Raiders , Giants/Skins, Seahawks/Panthers games

GL all

Thought much the same about Green Bay and dumped last night BUT that line has been caving and THEY have been right too often for my liking this year.

Line is still 9.5 rink, 9 in a few places, Bodog  10 (-105).
Swing the other way in the Bears game, they move from an opening 3.5 up to 6.5 yesterday but have gone back to 4.5 and 5

8.5

Bears @ Lions

Lions 3rd string QB will struggle with revitalised Bears D. Bears offense greatly improved of late and the running game should enable them to control the clock and win comfortably against a Lions team with a porous secondary.

Bears by a comfortable margin.

Broncos @ Chiefs

Chiefs are on the up and have a formidable running attack, which has started to be balanced by a good solid passing game. Their D is also imroiving all the time. The Broncos suck and can't stop anybody.  This is a big grudge match which the Chiefs are desperate to win.  The Chiefs are very strong at home.

The Chiefs win this and make a statement in the process.

Bills @ Vikings

The Vikings have had offensive woes, but their D has been Ok for the most part.  Buffalo are certainly improving but find ways to lose and their D may have been flattered by last weeks effort against the Steelers. Vikings have new coach and Farve has more options, especially Rice and that may see a more potent attack.

Vikings win, although Bills are respected more these days.

Skins @ Giants

Skins suck to be frank. Season stats give Giants clear edge. The Giants D is far superior and their all round team is just better.  They are due a statement game.

Giants comfortably.

Jaguars @ Titans

I like what the Jags are doing and they seem to be moving in the right direction. A win here is huge for them. The Titans are going the other way and look in trouble.  QB problems are really hurting the Titans, as is the decline in production in the running game. This is a pivotal game for both teams in this Divisonal rivalry though, and it is hard to be too confident.

Like the Jaguars and think they may be in the better place, but wouldn't bet the house!

Raiders @  Chargers

The Raiders have seemed to go from bad to good to bad again this year and still can't settle on a starting QB (Al Davies is a joke). San Diego are quite frankly a class apart and just about the hottest team in the league. Rivers is on fire and is starting to get all his weapons back.  They are pretty dominant on D as well.

There is only one outcome here.  Chargers bolt up.

Rams @ Cardinals

Rams are the most improved team in the league, Cardinals are the most regressive.  Really like what Sam Bradford is doing, don't like what Derek Anderson is doing at all.  Rams are better on both sides of the ball and should win this against a team who are falling apart.

Rams win.

Good write up Tomo, agree with most to

I like the jags today.

Expect Jay Cutler to make mistakes in NOISY Detroit. He aint no Tom Brady. Lions to win S/U in a payback for week 1.

I do think that the lions D could cause havoc against that bears o line. Could be pick city in Detroit.

Chiefs -1.5/Saints/Rams +3.5 in a 3-team teaser @ 2.5
Chiefs/Saints/Chargers treble @ 1.93

Might add Cleveland and San Diego in a 2-team teaser as well, the Browns will avoid a blow out IMO.

D13 - I've been liking the Jags all week, possible sow in Nashville though kind of puts me off, I hate backing FL/CA sides going to cold outdoor cities.
On that, Niners going to sub zero temperatures in Green Bay would be enough to put you off the Niners, but couple that with the ridiculous stat (that I can't remember) of West Cost teams going East for 1pm games and I see nothing but a comfortable Pack win.

Have gone in Large on the Steelers in the match odds.  The stat that swings it for me is this one -

Roethlisberger's presence seems to swing the rivalry in Pittsburgh's favor. Roethlisberger has missed four games against Baltimore due to injury or suspension since entering the league, and the Steelers have lost all four. With him starting, they're 7-2.

GB -9.5
Jags +3.5
Atlanta
Dallas @ Indy over 48.5

Good luck

thinking of lions, rams, jags, ravens and chiefs straight win @ 23.39 [smiley:crazy]

Had a late plunge on the Seahawks as well -5, Panthers have to be the buggest disappointment of the season, now Buffalo have found form Panthers must be odds on for the #1 pick

6 Selections Chosen
1 Denver @ Kansas City - Total Match Points (Backing  Over 47.5pts @ 1.83)
2 San Francisco @ Green Bay - San Francisco +9.5 (Backing  Green Bay -9.5pts @ 1.99)
3 Cleveland @ Miami - Cleveland +4.5 (Backing  Cleveland +4.5pts @ 2.11)
4 New Orleans @ Cincinnati (Backing  New Orleans Saints @ 1.33)
5 Washington @ NY Giants (Backing  NY Giants @ 1.27)
6 Jacksonville @ Tennessee - Under/Over 43.5pts (Backing  Under 43.5pts @ 1.94)


gone for this tonight @25.65

gone for
Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Jacksonville Jaguars, Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys

@ 60.1
also did 4 folds

packers fg kicker cant convert from 29yrds

doesnt bode well for us packer cap backers

The jags are doing it easier than I expected!

not surprising really...titans shut out by houston

he pushed him after the ball was dead