week 13 lines - picks

Texans +8.5 if asante samuel is missing

ravens -3

Presumably no odds until we here confirmation re Titans QB situation

I'm struggling with the handicap lines this week, I like a few of the overs though

Done some studying tonight, best line I can come up with is the Packers -9.
Pack D is decent and with Gore done for the season I'm not sure how they get an ageing Westbrook to perform as feature back, the Packers line will get plenty of pressure on Smith, Clay Matthews has been a beat this season, he should force mistakes and the Pack are tough to beat through the air.
31 sacks for the Packers line this season.

Bears line has been backed all day, I've got a sneak the Lions can stay close in this but I'm not usually a fan of swimming against the tide.

Overs in Chargers/Raiders , Giants/Skins, Seahawks/Panthers games

GL all

Line is still 9.5 rink, 9 in a few places, Bodog  10 (-105).
Swing the other way in the Bears game, they move from an opening 3.5 up to 6.5 yesterday but have gone back to 4.5 and 5

Bears @ Lions

Lions 3rd string QB will struggle with revitalised Bears D. Bears offense greatly improved of late and the running game should enable them to control the clock and win comfortably against a Lions team with a porous secondary.

Bears by a comfortable margin.

Broncos @ Chiefs

Chiefs are on the up and have a formidable running attack, which has started to be balanced by a good solid passing game. Their D is also imroiving all the time. The Broncos suck and can't stop anybody.  This is a big grudge match which the Chiefs are desperate to win.  The Chiefs are very strong at home.

The Chiefs win this and make a statement in the process.

Bills @ Vikings

The Vikings have had offensive woes, but their D has been Ok for the most part.  Buffalo are certainly improving but find ways to lose and their D may have been flattered by last weeks effort against the Steelers. Vikings have new coach and Farve has more options, especially Rice and that may see a more potent attack.

Vikings win, although Bills are respected more these days.

Skins @ Giants

Skins suck to be frank. Season stats give Giants clear edge. The Giants D is far superior and their all round team is just better.  They are due a statement game.

Giants comfortably.

Jaguars @ Titans

I like what the Jags are doing and they seem to be moving in the right direction. A win here is huge for them. The Titans are going the other way and look in trouble.  QB problems are really hurting the Titans, as is the decline in production in the running game. This is a pivotal game for both teams in this Divisonal rivalry though, and it is hard to be too confident.

Like the Jaguars and think they may be in the better place, but wouldn't bet the house!

Raiders @  Chargers

The Raiders have seemed to go from bad to good to bad again this year and still can't settle on a starting QB (Al Davies is a joke). San Diego are quite frankly a class apart and just about the hottest team in the league. Rivers is on fire and is starting to get all his weapons back.  They are pretty dominant on D as well.

There is only one outcome here.  Chargers bolt up.

Rams @ Cardinals

Rams are the most improved team in the league, Cardinals are the most regressive.  Really like what Sam Bradford is doing, don't like what Derek Anderson is doing at all.  Rams are better on both sides of the ball and should win this against a team who are falling apart.

Rams win.

I like the jags today.

I do think that the lions D could cause havoc against that bears o line. Could be pick city in Detroit.

D13 - I've been liking the Jags all week, possible sow in Nashville though kind of puts me off, I hate backing FL/CA sides going to cold outdoor cities.
On that, Niners going to sub zero temperatures in Green Bay would be enough to put you off the Niners, but couple that with the ridiculous stat (that I can't remember) of West Cost teams going East for 1pm games and I see nothing but a comfortable Pack win.

GB -9.5
Jags +3.5
Atlanta
Dallas @ Indy over 48.5

Good luck

Had a late plunge on the Seahawks as well -5, Panthers have to be the buggest disappointment of the season, now Buffalo have found form Panthers must be odds on for the #1 pick

gone for
Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Jacksonville Jaguars, Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys

@ 60.1
also did 4 folds

The jags are doing it easier than I expected!

he pushed him after the ball was dead