Does this look like a good bet?

Most Gross passing yards Manning with a -40.5 handicap. 2nd top passing team vs the worst ranked passing D. Added to that surely Texans will be running on a high % of plays to take advantage of the poor run D of colts. Colts Pass D is of a decent standard. The only factor which puts doubts in my mind are the injuries of Clark and Collie but will Peytons class still show? He outpassed him by around 300 yards last time and Texans won that match.