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Uncle O's NFL Picks 2010
Uncle O's NFL Picks 2010
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do you get involved ir orioles ?
Dallas 16-3 up  |
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Small interest, CC, I'm letting it run. Really liked Denver too tonight but didn't bother
 Still so sick about the Vikes' pathetic show, I'm sulking lol The Rams can save my mood  |
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...... and do you get involved in all of your tips ?
for the first time I'm following one nore match other than the televised match. ....... was a bit of struggle for the first game and lost on the 'other' match. but I picked on the Dallas match and have already traded out. I'm knackered due to following the Singapore Open (golf) so I might trade out in the televised match soon. |
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Generally, yes I do. I'm not a big punter (50 - 150 range) and I've found over the years that betting the whole card works best for me. Very disappointed with tonight's naps, a 50yd bomb with 4 seconds left and a loss to a team down to its third string QB, but that sort of makes my point. (If that makes any sense!)
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I think my interest in Am foot is almost solely due to ir
possibly the best sport to trade in ( or perhaps it's the simplest one and suitable for me )--- as I was coming from rugby union ( a sport I rarely had a bet on -- perhaps the varsity match --- as I loved it too much ) I found the delays ( time outs, injuries and umpiring get togethers ) spoiled the flow. I was ok once I stopped comparing it to rugby union. |
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Yeah !
It's amazing what happens in any sport ,,, NFL has it's fair share of incidents. I got really involved last week when a player was injured ( fair tackle ) but accidentally collided with the helmet of an innocent runner. Of course the zebras got it wrong. |
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When I started ( play offs 2008) there was a run of the outsider winning so I did quite well ...... I've curbed my enthusiasm for going in big on the trades after some losses.
like most events on here I do better by not being too greedy and not thinking I'm some kind of a professional ! |
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If you understand the US mindset - their sport is designed around thrilling finishes that also capture TV markets - then you've discovered why US sports are so lucrative for IR betting.
Sure things get busted all the time in baseball and football (I couldn't offer an opinion on hockey and basketball) It's hellishly difficult to run out the game in those games (I realise the kneel-down gives a lie to that, but it's not the game killer it looks) and easy to score a lot of points quickly. The delays are frustrating in football, but if you've got a few bets running, they can help ... and it allows me to shout for more tea and cake  |
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I wish I had an old retainer !
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I didn't say any tea and cake necessarily arrived!
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http://www.veetle.com/index.php/channel/view#4ce05abd698ed
gives a feed of the Dallas game. |
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Uncle O’s Game of the Week
Houston Texans @ New York Jets I have the Jets as one of my teams to go all the way (Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and Oakland, as you ask) and I’ll take them against Houston today. The Texan deep threats are potent and Schaub is capable, and paired with Foster they present the kind of balanced offense that I like: the problem is, it’s the Jets D, Houston stink on the other side of the ball, and there are real injury concerns on the Oilers’ sideline. Everyone knows you attack Houston vertically, and every week they get torched. They have no pass rush to speak of, their safeties, Bernard Pollard and Eugene Wilson, are poor, and CBs Glover Quin and Kareem Jackson are out of their rookie depth. That makes them vulnerable deep and underneath, so I expect Edwards, Holmes and Keller to find room and Sanchez could put up big numbers through the air. The problem for Houston is exacerbated by the rejuvenated LT and Greene one-two punch on the ground. The Texans are giving up the fifth most ypg rushing over the last four as their line begins to creak too. Houston are far from toothless - Andre Johnson is superb and can do real damage (just ask the Jags: 9/146/1 last week) but he is banged up and of course, he will find Darrelle Revis everywhere he goes today. With the dominant corner getting his game back as he regains his fitness, that’s going to be a problem for Schaub/Johnson. Another problem is Schaub’s knee, which saw him in hospital this week and I still see him listed as questionable on the injury report. His ribs are damaged too and the Jets will surely come after him and Orlovsky/Leinart ain’t getting it done. I’ll give the points and take some interest in a Houston team with a toothless pass rush and the Jets hunting an immobile Schaub. Pick: NYJ -6.5 (3pts) Pick: 1st TD Santonio Holmes 12/1 (0.5pt) Pick: Anytime TD Dustin Keller 6/5 (1pt) Pick: Sacks Supremacy Jets/Texans Buy at 0.8 (0.5pt/tick) ATS Naps Cle +2.5 Ten -7 GB -3 Phi -3 The rest ... Ari +8 Cin -4.5 Dal -5.5 Oak +7.5 Bal -13 Atl -3 NO -10.5 SF -3 Colts +4 Den +9.5 Acca Dal SF Phi Value Acca Ari Cle Ind ‘Puter Picks Det + Den + Oak + ‘Puter Totals None |
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One of those days, CC. Picks being made with children running about, complete bedlam, house guests for the weekend, me creeping off to have a look at the games.
I'll charge for Sunday lunch next time [;)] |
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children running about, complete bedlam
I thought for a moment you were describing the Jets ! |
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I have them for the Super Bowl, but if they lose concentration like that, they have no chance.
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It happens often enough ....... an interception, a penalty decision or some other vagary of fate can give the losing team some momentum.
I came a cropper on the 7.5 h'c but had hedged with a lay at 1.06 on the match odds which I was able to back back when Houston were in the lead. ended up with a loss of £3 overall so it felt like getting out of jail. not that I know what that feel likes your honour  |
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feels like
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Unlike the people I defended
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Uncle O’s Game of the Week
Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons The coach killers take on the 19-1 home trigger man. This should be a great game; two teams who are playing well and look destined to be significant players down the stretch. I know I harp on about this (and it’s hardly a startling insight!) but I like to see strength on both sides of the ball – it doesn’t have to be overwhelming, but there must be balance. In this respect, the Packers have the clear edge in this matchup. When Finley went down, I feared for the Pack. He was the x-fator on the offense that somehow seemed to make it tick, even so early in his career, but Rodgers has got Green Bay rolling as Greg Jennings, , James Jones and latterly Donald Driver have proved their worth and the offense has been devastating recently. Getting Rodgers as a dog, even in the Georgia Dome, is an attractive proposition. The Falcons’ secondary is beatable and if they’re hoping to stop Green Bay by getting to Rodgers, you should bear in mind that the Pack’s O line has only given up 6 sacks in the last three and conversely, the Atlanta pass rush has got home only three times in their last three. Look for Rodgers to attack Grimes in the Atlanta secondary and Jennings to score as he has recovered from a slow start to be the got to receiver in this offense. Ryan is 19-1 at home, it must be the most quoted QB stat of the season, but he’s matching up on a Green Bay defense that will test his nerve and decision-making under pressure. Over that recent three game spell, the Packer D has yielded 10 points to the opposition. Total. That’s against the Jets, Dallas and Minnesota – that’s some line of form. Their corners are dominant and in Clay Matthews they have the league leader in sacks. Atlanta have protected Ryan nicely and any team that boasts Roddy White out wide and Tony Gonzalez over the middle, along with a more capable supporting cast downfield has a puncher’s chance, but they really need to establish the run and unfortunately that seems unlikely as the Atlanta run game has been sketchy and Green Bay are tough on the ground. The Falcons are 1-3 ATS when they put up fewer than 100 yards on the ground and I don’t see Turner dominating B.J. Raji , Frank Zombo and Clay Matthews. The Pack are more solid all round and they should have enough to break the Ryan home magic. Pick: Green Bay Packers +2 (4pts) Pick: 1st TD Greg Jennings 8/1 (0.5pt) Pick: Anytime TD James Jones 2/1 (0.5pt) ATS Naps Pit -6 Phi -3 SD +2.5 The rest ... (NYJ -10) (NE -6.5) (NO -3.5) Cle -9 NYG -7 Min -1.5 Ten +6 Sea +3 Oak -2.5 Den -3.5 TB +7.5 SF -1 Acca Den Hou Oak Value Acca Min Sea SD ‘Puter Picks Ten + StL + Chi + ‘Puter Totals Jac/NYG Over GB/Atl Under Ten/Hou Over SD/Ind Under |
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New York Jets safety Jim Leonhard will miss the remainder of the season after undergoing surgery for a broken right leg.
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Jacksonville @ Tennessee
Simple - if Collins goes for the Titans, then lay the points, if he doesn’t and Rusty Smith is under centre, take the Jags and points. I’m getting nothing on the late injury reports, so I’ll assume Collins goes. Collins can at least get it done and involve Johnson in the game (Rusty Smith managed to remove his own ace from the game) and the threat of guys like Moss and Washington downfield, the Titans will change it up as required, particularly as the Jags’ pass rush/defense is very poor. They’ve defended the run well recently, but Tennessee must get the run going first, and Johnson will see the ball a lot early. The QB issue is the biggest concern because the Titans are solid on D and they should be able to control this side of the ball and pressure Garrard whom they knocked out last time. All that said, Maurice Jones-Drew has been strong recently and is worth a touch for 1st TD. Give the points. Pick: Tennessee -3 (3*) Pick: 1st TD Maurice Jones-Drew 5/1 (0.5pt) Pick: Anytime TD Randy Moss 13/8 (1pt) ATS Naps Chi -5 StL -3.5 NE -3.5 The rest ... (Phi -8) Buf +5 Cle +5.5 NO -6.5 GB -8.5 Den +9 NYG -7 SD -13 Car +4.5 Dal +5.5 Atl -3 Pit +3 Acca Ten Atl NE Value Acca Cle Car Pit ‘Puter Picks Oak + Buf + Cle + ‘Puter Totals None |
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I've laid the Titans @ 1.6 with a view to trading.
The Jaguars seem to have posted some decent results since losing 3-30 at home to the Titans. |
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RP tips for TV matches are exactly the same as yours orioles.
You have to improve the security inside your head. |
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Opposing my picks can only make you rich
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Uncle O’s Game of the Week
Bucs @ Redskins I like the Bucs here. My Redskins have the look of a team that have given up, and while the Buccaneers managed to blow a 10 point lead last week, they look the team most likely. The Redskins malaise is particularly evident on defense and LeGarrette Blount should have a big game. He is a massive unit and can wear down a Washington defense that sits last in yards per carry given up. Interestingly, Raheem Morris has expressed increasing frustration at the big boy's inability to convert short yardage and at the goal-line, and the 3/1 on offer at Paddy Power for Earnest Graham to score may offer some sneaky value as he may get those carries in the redzone. The Washington secondary has struggled all season and is banged up and Josh Freeman, even with limited options downfield, is developing into an efficient and talented QB. Losing Aqib Talib is a blow for the Bucs, so I expect them to come after McNabb to limit the aerial attack and they should get to him. The 'skins O line is playing poorly, allowing 13 sacks in the last four weeks and Tampa have 12 sacks over the same period. That is a worrying combination of stats for McNabb. Washington is also turning over the ball much too much. Their running game is a shambles, so I don't expect the Bucs to be too troubled on the ground, which is a bust for Washington as that probably represents their best chance. I'll give the point. Pick: Tampa Bay -1 (3*) Pick: 1st TD Mike Williams 8/1 (0.5pt) Pick: Anytime TD Earnest Graham 3/1 (1pt) Pick: Buy Tampa Bay Sacks @ 2.4 (1pt/tick) ATS Naps GB -6.5 Den -4 The rest ... (Ind -3.5) Cin +8.5 Atl -7.5 Cle +1 Oak +4 StL +9.5 Sea +5.5 Mia +5 SD -9 NE -2.5 Dal +4 Hou +3 Acca Atl GB NO SD Value Acca Cle Oak Hou ‘Puter Picks Ten+) KC+ Oak+ Sea+ Cle+ Atl- Chi+ StL+ ‘Puter Totals Cle/Buf Over StL/NO Under |
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I'll give the point.
Pick: Tampa Bay -1 (3*) ul - very |
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The highlight of this week was having a close look last night at the Bal/Hou game on my blog ... and picking Bal after picking the Oilers on this thread
Not my finest hour. |
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ATS Naps
Ari +2.5 Cle +1 NO +2 The rest ... (SD -9.5) Dal -9.5 Buf +6 Det +5 Ten -1 Jax +4.5 StL -3 NYG +3 |
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Atl -6
Oak -8 Jets +4 GB +14 Chi -8 |
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First game I chose to follow I backed NYG -2.5 at evens.
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Luckily I laid off as I was doing other things.
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There have been some crazy games today, but getting the right side of the Philly result was ridiculous
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