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23 Jun 10
23:07
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Date Joined:
11 Oct 01
The Mets are 1.85 at the moment which is very good value for a team that is 25 - 10 at home being visited by a club that is 13 - 20 on the road. Not to mention New York are probally the hottest team over the past month or so and outscored Detroit 14 - 6 last night to prove their still sizzling.
As for the pitchers; it is a complete mismatch favouring the Mets. Dickey has won his last 5 starts and while Bonderman is also on some form, he has terrible splits: 5.26 ERA at night and a 6.03 ERA on the road. Dickey has a 2.19 ERA at home and a 2.30 ERA at night.
Sorry you had to read all that just for a tip but make it worth your while!
As for the pitchers; it is a complete mismatch favouring the Mets. Dickey has won his last 5 starts and while Bonderman is also on some form, he has terrible splits: 5.26 ERA at night and a 6.03 ERA on the road. Dickey has a 2.19 ERA at home and a 2.30 ERA at night.
Sorry you had to read all that just for a tip but make it worth your while!
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The price reflects uncertainty about Dickey who is pitching far above anything he has shown in his career previously.
Is Dickey likely to keep pitching so well? Well, he's 35 so you'd usually say that he's just been very lucky this year and that regression to the mean surely awaits.
However, it is conceivable that Dickey has finally mastered the dark art of knuckleballing. He's only been a knuckleballer since 2006 and it's a really hard skill to perfect.
Dickey's a difficult pitcher to price up. Clearly he won't maintain a sub 2.50 ERA this season but how much he regresses is anybody's guess.
Is Dickey likely to keep pitching so well? Well, he's 35 so you'd usually say that he's just been very lucky this year and that regression to the mean surely awaits.
However, it is conceivable that Dickey has finally mastered the dark art of knuckleballing. He's only been a knuckleballer since 2006 and it's a really hard skill to perfect.
Dickey's a difficult pitcher to price up. Clearly he won't maintain a sub 2.50 ERA this season but how much he regresses is anybody's guess.
I know Dickey is a disaster waiting to happen, he is like Wakefield; either shut the oppents down completely or get lit up. He should be even money every time.
But unlike Wakefield, Dickey has show consistency and you can't go against his great form. Also unlike Wakefield, Dickey can get away with mistakes pitching at Citi field while Wakefield is pitching in the most hitter friendly ballpark in the bigs.
Are you on anything tonight SM?
But unlike Wakefield, Dickey has show consistency and you can't go against his great form. Also unlike Wakefield, Dickey can get away with mistakes pitching at Citi field while Wakefield is pitching in the most hitter friendly ballpark in the bigs.
Are you on anything tonight SM?
To be fair to Wakefield he's won 160 odd more games in his career than Dickey. Wakefield's been a bit unlucky this season (his 2.59 K/BB ratio is his best effort since 2002), certainly not as bad as his ERA or record would suggest.
Speaking of Boston, I'm betting them tonight against Colorado. Ubaldo's a hard man to oppose, of course, but he's probably going to have to be at his best to subdue the hard hitting Red Sox. Shorn of Tulo I also don't like the look of the Colorado batting line-up much.
Speaking of Boston, I'm betting them tonight against Colorado. Ubaldo's a hard man to oppose, of course, but he's probably going to have to be at his best to subdue the hard hitting Red Sox. Shorn of Tulo I also don't like the look of the Colorado batting line-up much.
No. Watching Toronto-St Louis. Good luck with your bet arthur.
8.5 is pretty low considering the two pitchers and the hot offences, the spread is always low at Citi because of the dimensions. The wind is not doing much so i would take overs... What you on?
Ha, commentator said: 'If Reyes hits a leadoff triple you might aswell put that run on board' leadoff triple and no run 
trying to get 50 on at 2.5
had a bit of 2.04
also got money at 1.9 waiting on NY METS
in play liquidity shocking unless you like getting mugged
had a bit of 2.04
also got money at 1.9 waiting on NY METS
in play liquidity shocking unless you like getting mugged
Wow, just looked at the total runs market, very poor liquidity...
matched 60 on mets at 1.9
leaving runs alone now
slow start
leaving runs alone now
slow start
Bonderman has 4 straight outs but he doesn't look that impressive...
Bonderman has thrown 14 of 16 pitches for strikes, that is too aggressive. They should be able to punish him next time through the lineup. Look for the runs to start to flow soon...
was thinking that
some decent prices available on overs now
some decent prices available on overs now
The Mets need men on base, Bonderman is bad pitching out of the stretch...
Could of been two if that ball went into the corner..
yes mate i did
was very nervous in the last 10 minutes
germany will be a very tough game
-30
-30
in run market
+40
+45 mets
in match odds lol
was very nervous in the last 10 minutes
germany will be a very tough game
-30
-30
in run market
+40
+45 mets
in match odds lol
Thats an ok book i suppose [;)]
Enland played alot better than their first 2 games, but will struggle against Germany...
Enland played alot better than their first 2 games, but will struggle against Germany...
It was only Bonderman though, he has as much chance of hitting the knuckleball as Heskey has in scoring a goal...
thats outta here!
reyes!
yes mate heskey is a terrible player, so glad he dropped him
are you american? your boys done well mate
reyes!
yes mate heskey is a terrible player, so glad he dropped him
are you american? your boys done well mate
no - its just you seem to know your stuff with the baseball thought you maybe a yank 
im more of a casual watcher
and the north american forum
is it always this dead here?
i would have thought in play MLB would have better liquidity aswell
im more of a casual watcher
and the north american forum
is it always this dead here?
i would have thought in play MLB would have better liquidity aswell
I saw a game the other day with 150k on it by the end of it, not even televised. It's strange how games go from one extreme to another in terms of liquidity.
That's a bit like the forum, either a big discussion or nothing...
That's a bit like the forum, either a big discussion or nothing...
Wow someone was laying the tigers at 6.4, very good price giving it is close game and detroit have very explosive hitters...
im thinking METS price is a bit skinny here
going to lay a little
going to lay a little
You should wait till a break really, someone may have coverage quicker than you [:(]
im laying at my own odds
not getting matched just put a few hundred in at 1.15
no one wanst to match it anyway
not getting matched just put a few hundred in at 1.15
no one wanst to match it anyway
It's fun watching Zumaya, hardest thrower in the bigs [:D]
you still giving detroit a chance here?
mets 1/12 on willhill now
aint going to bother with the lay
mets 1/12 on willhill now
aint going to bother with the lay
Yeah, definately giving them a chance at 8, their best hitters are coming up in the 8th...
Dickey will bunt then the tigers should walk Reyes....
Blanco is slow so the force can be had at home, don't be surprised to see Detorit get out of this jam...
ye
couldnt get involved no liquidity
wish i left it all on the mets
they have won this now
couldnt get involved no liquidity
wish i left it all on the mets
they have won this now
Yeah, bit of a quiet game, only started to liven up now... 
2 runs scored on that hit, its 5 - 0 [:D]
You never know in baseball though
You never know in baseball though
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