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beggster1
06 Apr 10 21:50
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Date Joined: 05 Mar 10
| Topic/replies: 299 | Blogger: beggster1's blog
Any thoughts on Baltimore v Rays tonight?

gonna be lumping on the Rays personally, any reason why i should tread carefully???

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Replies: 44
By:
ctian666
When: 06 Apr 10 22:26
Millwood pitches better in regular play than spring training
By:
grahamwestleyisthemessiah
When: 06 Apr 10 22:47
Rays have had plenty of pre-season hype and the public cant shovel enough money on them. But they are way too short at 1.49. Millwood is a decent pitcher and the O's upset the Yankees in their season-opener last year. Id be tempted to lay the Rays at that price.
By:
orioles
When: 06 Apr 10 22:51
The Rays are 1.53 to win su.

Road favourites, when they win the game, win by more than 1 run 79% of the time. So if you must bet short favourites on the road, bet the runline.

Uncle Joe has the Rays available at 2.15 on the Runline.
By:
grahamwestleyisthemessiah
When: 06 Apr 10 23:08
eH,? tHE rAYS ARE AT HOME
By:
orioles
When: 06 Apr 10 23:50
So they are, my apologies. Very embarrassing. I put it down to old age, opening day excitement and stupidity!

If you're still interested in my ideas; the home favourite's relevant stats drop to 70%, so the bet becomes less attractive from that point of view.

As for pure analysis, Millwood doesn't do well at Tropicana Field and stunk it up in Spring training. In contrast, Tampa Bay have been ripping it up. With Roberts banged up, if I was to bet the game, I'd probably still take the Rays on the runline, but maybe not for the full £2.
By:
m666
When: 07 Apr 10 00:00
Millwood has a 6+ ERA in Tampa, where as Shields is usually an ace at home. There are worse 1.5 shots about.
By:
regular joe
When: 07 Apr 10 00:04
My ridiculously complicated spreadsheet predicted Tampa to be 1.51 so I agree the odds are about right. Minnesota are my bet of the night.
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 00:04
rays look too short to me and have laid 1.5
By:
BostSox Law
When: 07 Apr 10 00:18
Have to be on the Rays even at that price ....agree that Shields should provide a commanding performance at home
By:
ctian666
When: 07 Apr 10 00:57
1-0 O's Adam Jones solo jack
By:
ctian666
When: 07 Apr 10 00:58
Shields pitch count is high already
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:00
cant believe im able to lay off my 3.0 back at 2.0 with just a 1 run lead

Baltimore (K Millwood)

£128.52

Tampa Bay (J Shields)

£0.00
By:
Mr Lizard
When: 07 Apr 10 01:01
its great baseball innit sb :D
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:02
love it
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:05
base runners for rays
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:08
oooh thrown out at home
By:
ctian666
When: 07 Apr 10 01:11
2-0 O's Luke Scott solo jack
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:12
nice
By:
ctian666
When: 07 Apr 10 01:12
chasing Shields out of the game
By:
RDFC
When: 07 Apr 10 01:12
I've given up on my TB-1.5 bet. :(
By:
ctian666
When: 07 Apr 10 01:13
you aint seen the O's bullpen yet
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:13
2nd and 3rd, 0 outs :D
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:14
hate popups
By:
Mr.Ventham
When: 07 Apr 10 01:18
Evening, just laid some balt at 1.3s, far too low with whats to come pitching wise!


boom red sox lead 3-1!
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:20
what a chance gone there for balt to bust it open
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:20
2nd and 3rd, 0 outs and nothing lol
By:
Mr Lizard
When: 07 Apr 10 01:21
Thats when i laid swindon, with men on 2nd and 3rd reckon at 4-0 they should be 1.25 so not giving away to much esp if they didn't score ;-)
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:22
yeah i wasn't watching market tut
By:
ctian666
When: 07 Apr 10 01:22
shields has thrown 75 pitches already, they usually only throw between 90-100 pitches on their first couple of starts
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:45
1-2
By:
ctian666
When: 07 Apr 10 01:53
another solo jack
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 01:54
3-1
By:
Only-the-Brave
When: 07 Apr 10 01:54
rays lucky that these home runs have only cost them 1run a time. Think they will still win this. Yankees lead the redsox 4-3 now.
By:
RDFC
When: 07 Apr 10 01:55
Ok now I've given up on the -1.5. Thought TB might have had a chance after that last inning but that's probably just done it in. :(
By:
RDFC
When: 07 Apr 10 01:55
95 pitches and Shields is still in there! Get him out!
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 02:05
2-3
By:
Mr.Ventham
When: 07 Apr 10 02:07
this is what rays backers want to see,millwood being spoken too,get that BP in :D
By:
SwindonBoy
When: 07 Apr 10 02:09
big inning on the way
By:
RDFC
When: 07 Apr 10 02:11
Double play, the worst possible outcome. :(
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