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J0KER
23 Jan 10 17:24
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Date Joined: 13 Jan 09
| Topic/replies: 4,295 | Blogger: J0KER's blog
WHEN THE COLTS HAVE THE BALL

This is the big matchup in the game how the Jets cope with the Surgeon at QB.

The Colts running game is pretty awefull and definately cannot win the game for the Colts.. if they win it will be on the back of Manning passing that is a given.

Key matchups here are Revis v Wayne.

Revis is more than capable of closing Reggie out 1 on 1 as he has proved all year. I think he will play Reggie 1 on 1 most of the day as the Jets like to play man coverage having 2 very good Corners.

The Colts lack of rushing attack will enable the Jets to drop 7 into coverage most of the game unless the Colts can prove they can run the ball.. ( doubtfull in the extreme )

If the Jets are ably to drop 7 I believe they will double Dallas Clarke and tak him out of the game as best they can.

If Revis is able to handle Reggie as I believe he can then Manning will have to look to his check downs more often than usual.

The Jets front 7 is very strong v the run and the linebackers are great dropping into coverage. In Vilma they have a sideline to sideline man who runs the D.

I am certain the Colts will try and challenge the Jets run D early just to see how they defend it.. ie do they play it quite soft as in read and react as opposed to run blitzing or keepint thier linebackers close to the line of sccrimage.. if they do then look to Manning to find his backup tight end or his rookie reciever between the safety's and linebackers with mid range passes.

It will be a great matchup between manning and the Jets defensive coaches.. look to the Jets to throw in a couple of Corner blitzes ( something they rarely do ) and delayed blitzes.

WHEN THE JETS HAVE THE BALL.

Its simple here really.. STOP THE RUN.

Easier said than done with this fantastic offensive line and a couple of real bangers at RB.

Faneca and Fureson are studs in the line and the 2 rb's Shon Green and T Jones are awesome on tandem.. they proved against a very good San Diego team that they will stick with the run and be patient.

The colts are built to rush the passer with Robert Mathis and D Freeney but not so vs the run.

Look for the Jets to attack these ends with plenty of off tacle runs in a bid to wear down the undersizes defence. D Woody at tackle is a great run blocker as is furgesin with faneca adding a nasty streak so I think the Jets WILL get success here.

I doubt the Jets will pass more than 12- 14 times if the game is close so the pass rush will not be a real factor. The Colts safety's will need to play well in run defence support her and will have to play close to the line.. The Jets will deffo take a couple of shote to Braylon ( should be Teflon ) Edwards..if he can actually hold on to one i wouldnt be supplrised to see a dropped coverage and a long TD there.

I think the weakness of the Colts D is the linebacking corps.. if the jets can get thier blockers into that second level then they could keep Manning off the field for long periods of the game rusulting in quite a low scoring game.

For me this will not be the blowout alot of people are expecting as the Jets D is just about as good as it gets.

Manning's patience will be tested here.

I hope you all enjoy the game.. and remember these are just my oppinions.

GL all with your bets :)

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Replies: 43
By:
FORZA AS ROMA
When: 23 Jan 10 18:53
You expect the Jets to drop 7 men in coverage often???Also you think the Colts linebackers are the biggest problem???Gary Brackett is their best defencive player and Session and Wheeler are no slouches. The main weakness is the 2 DT they are just poor. The Colts have improved massivly against the run as ive said all along, and I said they would hold R Rice but not many believed. I just cant see the Jets scoring over 14 points and that just wont cut it. The Jets Defences is good but its held in place from the blitz. If Manning can get any time the Safety play is poor
By:
d13phe
When: 23 Jan 10 21:17
Colts will run the ball enough to keep the Jets D honest
By:
big-game-player
When: 23 Jan 10 22:23
31 - 14 for the colts... manning to lead the charge to the superbowl for the colts here and will cut the jets apart.. i also think they will go to wayne much more than people think...
By:
OVERSEAS
When: 23 Jan 10 22:50
Going to keep it simple...pre game win bet spread around the books (fixed odds) on the Colts to win the game..no trading at all..nice dinner and am happy to make around 30% on my money...have enjoyed watching the Jets but at home and with Manning...2/7 is value..
By:
RescueMe.
When: 24 Jan 10 00:14
I think the bet of the weekend is under 19.5 pts in the first half at Even money.

J E T S JETS JETS JETS
By:
Live Forever
When: 24 Jan 10 11:06
Some decent thoughts. I doubt Vilma will contribute much to the Jets defence today though, unless they've found a time machine
By:
Gazzy
When: 24 Jan 10 12:44
J E T S JETS JETS JETS
By:
ManWithNoName
When: 24 Jan 10 13:08
I had a real soft spot for the Colts in the winless days long past, but there is something about Manning that irritates me.

Conversely, I can't help but like Rex Ryan.

Wanna have a bet - and so gotta back the Jets.

I hope Sanchez can manage the game, but I also know Freeney could ruin everything.
By:
d13phe
When: 24 Jan 10 15:36
Indy/Indy at 1.78 my main bet
By:
J0KER
When: 24 Jan 10 15:48
I do expect the Jets to drop 7 as the run game is so icipid. As for Brackett being the best Defensive player :^0 imo

Mathis , Sanders and Freeney are all better imo...but like I said its about oppinions.. just coz you say the Colts are getting better vs the run v don,t make it true ;)

Jets to score 14 imo and jets to play alot of 7 man coverage that is 1.01 imo
By:
Dave89
When: 24 Jan 10 15:49
What odds on Vilma suiting up for the Jets?
By:
J0KER
When: 24 Jan 10 15:53
Haven't checked the latest team news yet. He is key for the Jets imo
By:
skyblues
When: 24 Jan 10 15:55
Do us a favour mate and check the team news for vilma playing for jets if he plays im making a complaint to the nfl.
By:
Dave89
When: 24 Jan 10 15:55
:^0
By:
cunnybobbler
When: 24 Jan 10 16:06
vilma wont be playing for anybody, shes currently filming scooby doo 4
By:
Kingmambo
When: 24 Jan 10 16:23
is this a wind-up?
By:
d13phe
When: 24 Jan 10 17:20
£250k laying the Colts

**k me
By:
cunnybobbler
When: 24 Jan 10 17:23
wow. probably a bookie thats layed the jets a 3/1
By:
d13phe
When: 24 Jan 10 17:24
its £450 k now

never seen so much live money on betfair

let alone NFL
By:
Valueee Seeeker
When: 24 Jan 10 17:25
makes you wonder if someone knows something....
By:
d13phe
When: 24 Jan 10 17:26
its making me wonder

thats serious money

it cant be a UK bookie
By:
cunnybobbler
When: 24 Jan 10 17:27
well it obviously isnt a pro gambler or theyd know that putting all that money up at once is only likely to push the price against them. unless thats what they want so they can back the colts at a higher price. not the best of strategies though.
By:
Sexual Harassment Panda
When: 24 Jan 10 17:28
follow zee money
By:
d13phe
When: 24 Jan 10 17:28
hope its not the ref or NFL comissioner

or in fact Peyton

that is worryingly serious money though
By:
HARRY22
When: 24 Jan 10 17:29
lol value seeker...what do u reckon someone knows??peyton to throw 4 picks?
By:
HARRY22
When: 24 Jan 10 17:29
dodgy zebras my bet
By:
Benrik
When: 24 Jan 10 17:29
which market is this happening in?
By:
d13phe
When: 24 Jan 10 17:30
Colts/Jets Match odds
By:
cunnybobbler
When: 24 Jan 10 17:30
doesnt mean anything. if they knew something theyd be laying at a lot higher than 1.29. seriously if you knew manning was injured or whatever else would you stick it up at 1.29 or wipe out all the way to 1.33??
By:
d13phe
When: 24 Jan 10 17:32
It could be a pro

Colts price has come in a lot over the past week

perhaps they took an early price
By:
Valueee Seeeker
When: 24 Jan 10 17:33
Harry... i think anyone can be tempted to have an off game with significant influence on the result for a price.

Doubt it though... My guess would be some idiot with more money than sense is trying to do something like move a price but as someone already said - bad strategy!
By:
skyblues
When: 24 Jan 10 17:34
Joker
Vilma starts mate lump on.
By:
d13phe
When: 24 Jan 10 17:34
maybe the coin toss will be rigged ;)

watch out for the jets receiving :)
By:
HARRY22
When: 24 Jan 10 17:35
in a way im hoping for some good games tonight as playoffs have been blow-outs...on the other hand i wouldnt mind the colts and vikes blowing these teams away ;)
By:
HARRY22
When: 24 Jan 10 17:36
has harvin travelled??anyone know?
By:
skyblues
When: 24 Jan 10 17:37
They know vilma is playing so the money is coming in for the jets. Thats where the big lump came from.
By:
cunnybobbler
When: 24 Jan 10 17:38
not enough money matched on the market for it to be a trade. my guess is theyre just doing it to get as much layed as possible then when it pushes the price out back them back for a profit. they must know 400k isnt gonna matched, when money like that goes up nobody wants to touch it.
By:
Valueee Seeeker
When: 24 Jan 10 17:38
I think the second game will be the more entertaining - will see lots of points.

First game will be more about D and Manning being tested - Colts to win, but no blow out, I would say they win by less than 14
By:
claimingseven
When: 24 Jan 10 17:40
Harvin def travelled has had this migraine problem for most of the season on and off but he has been playing through it although he has been sitting out practice.

Something they are going to look at in the offseason.
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