North American
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As we all know the general public no nothing about gambling. The 'Vegas Pro' rule is that anytime 70% or more of the money is going with one side, you should look at the other team with a view to betting them.
Today we have on the handicap:
New Orleans 83.8%
Denver 77.9%
Atlanta 72.5%
Baltimore 71.8%
Of all of them I am not sure which if any of those I would go against. Maybe the Saints with Jackson running all over them.
Thoughts?
Today we have on the handicap:
New Orleans 83.8%
Denver 77.9%
Atlanta 72.5%
Baltimore 71.8%
Of all of them I am not sure which if any of those I would go against. Maybe the Saints with Jackson running all over them.
Thoughts?
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Replies: 24
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Problem with that, Jimmy, is that St. Louis are likely to be behind from the start and relying on Jackson won't be enough. Bulger and his receivers won't get it done against a more than capable NO secondary, so you could see a blow out as the Saints hammer the Rams, who then do nothing on O chasing the game.
Certainly, if there is a vulnerability in the Saints' D, it's on the ground, but it remains to be seen if Jackson will get the touches. |
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Where did you hear about this "Vegas" rule? I agree that the general public do know nothing about gambling (I would hope I am not included in that general public), but seems strange to have a fixed "guess" at this 70%
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Btw only ones I would go against would be Atlanta and maybe Denver. Rams would need a miracle and Browns probably even more of a miracle
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There are worse systems out there.
Be a bit careful using wagerline numbers though, a lot of the time people just ignore the line and pick the faves. (That's kinda what the public do anyway of course but it's magnified on wagerline) That being said I'm pretty sure you don't want to be on the wagerline top picks very often! |
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so by that notion you should back stl, cle and was, 3 of the worst teams in the league. why not pick tb and det while you're at it!
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In handicap wagering sometimes "worst" is best.
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I think Baltimore and Denver are the two most at risk.
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If Baltimore lose I will kill myself - and I haven't even got any money on it
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dont say that gazzy, they are gicing up a lot of points for this trip
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orioles
thing is that spagnola is kind of deluded in his thinking. he actually thought the other week 21 points behind the colts going into the final quarter that they still had a chance and could wear them down on the ground. even when they fall behind i can still see him smashing poor old SJ into the ground |
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im with uncle o. rams get behind they will start throwing to get back in it and the score could get out of hand pretty quickly. they arent going to be running if theyre 14 points behind in the 4th quarter. plus youd imagine the saints gameplan would revolve around stopping the run and pretty much presuming bulger and the receivers cant beat them. ok that doesnt mean they will completely stop the run but it helps. not saying id back new orleans either but if i had to id go with them. but its not a game id bet on.
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well I am sure one of those will fall short in the handicap, we will just have to wait and see which one
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all three not ahead at the half on the handicap
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shows what the public know!
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Burned by Bulger?
Fair play, Jackson had a big game, but consider these first down stats ... ..............................NO......STL TOTAL FIRST DOWNS....19.......23 By Rushing..................8........7 By Passing..................11......15 By Penalty...................0.......1 Bulger 26/40 for 298yds 2TD INT 40! FFS :| You're right though, opposing the 'herd' always pays :) |
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3 for 3 Jimmy (no suprise) Will Browns make it 4 ?
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WOW this is amazing!!!!
I'm having EXTRA on the BROWNS now!!!! GO JIMMY GO!!!! |
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I sometimes pop into the t ote at Kentish Town if I want to watch a race.
If you are ever there, watch out for a: Tall guy/mid to late 20's Short/dark hair always wears a white tee / jeans. Have your phone on stand-by. I have layed every one of his selections. I believe this system is 100% :D |
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well, this is interesting going into tonights game.
I actually think that this is the least likely of all of them to come in as I can only see the Browns scoring a maximum of 10 points. However, the Ravens D are not what they used to be and maybe they can generate a turnover to make that 17 or so points. |
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be wary against the spread...............................................
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3-1 on the week
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Thanks a lot for your THEORY Jimmy!
I just blew my weekly profits on the TERRIBLE BROWNS and your p.iss poor THEORY!!!! |
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LOL :)
You can please some of the people all of the time and all of the people some of the time, but ... |
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you would think people might be pleased with the roughly 50% ROI from these fixtures, LOL
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