Week 9 NFL

this week there was plenty that took the eye...at 1st glance nothing really stands out...i think houston may be worth a punt on the spread...i think GB will cover the spread also...i believe the pitts@denver will be as tight as the spread suggests..tricky week

Take Houston, 49ers, Tampa, AZ .

Cinny look huge value but are the most unpredictable team around, so I will pass.

Green Bay look stand out value for me.....the rest will have to check injuries etc - looks a tough week

philly, arizona, nyg possibly. early days though, plenty of mulling-time.

overs in NYG game looks a good shout too

Chargers for me - Giants are brutal this year

Brandon Jacobs coming out party will be this week!!!

Giants have been brutal last few weeks, but chargers are equally bad. They just beat up 2 bad teams, but prior to that they looked awful.
I'm not sure about Houston, Indy don't have a good history for covering home spreads I guess, but Houston struggled at times against the bills and I rank the colts D a lot better. Could easily see the Colts winning by at least a TD, so probably won't bet it, would take a look at overs at 48

Giants/Chargers is 47 btw

been really dissapointed with the giants the last few weeks, poor throws from manning again vs the eagles.
but i'll b taking them in the teazer market where they should be off level next sunday v the chargers.
it'l b a must win.

As a Gambler, I'd Go ;

Kansas @ Jax -6.5.

San Fran
Saints
Indy
GB
I Don't trust any of the other teams ,Miami could quite easily be the ones to beat New England,And I get that feeling with most of the others

Close Lifesaver

Carolina @ New Orleans -14.5
Washington @ Atlanta -11.5

Il take my houston tip back with daniels being out

I imagine Indy will man up on AJ and get some over the top safety help, will make it hard for houston to move it much

Philly my early Nap

Houston have had a desperately easy schedule so far. Home defeats to Jax and NYJ are looking even worse now than they did at the time. The secondary is still very poor and Manning could have a field day - only hope is that Schaub has another stormer in reply.

KR - losing daniels a big loss for them. Means indy can afford to double up on AJ and leave man coverage on the other receivers. Coupled with indy having a good pass D.
As for houston rushing, not been good, I don't buy anything into last week as the Bills have a terrible rush D (they allowed my browns a 100yd rusher, a 1 Jamal Lewis.....say no more?)

Jacob TA...from monday to sunday is their a vegas line site that shows you the movements of the lines? i did have a site in favourites but lost it..

Im not sure about 2 weeks ago but with bob sanders being back fit that will help them contain AJ,,,sanders has lots of speed

vegasinsider.com

eg
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/line-movement/panthers-@-cardinals.cfm/date/11-01-09/time/1615
for the Carolina/Arizona game

Cheers

can anybody see san diego winning at the giants? giants are struggling but san diego have been pure garbage all season . finally got the run working but only against oakland so not convinced. and the chargers defense is a total joke really. 6th best pass desfense in the yards per game stat. stats really are utter bollix arent they.

Manning is in a helluva state at the moment.

Backing any team with him under centre at the moment is an exercise in lunacy :)

Houston look huge to me on first showing

Anyone think there's an overreaction to the 'bad' teams getting humped in the season to date? I do have an unerring tendency towards home dogs getting big points from average teams to be fair ...

Going with the consensus on Cincy, will possibly look to take them straight up rather than with the start.

I have the Giants (-7) on my personal Handicaps list, so if I have any faith in my own marks then I`ve got to load up at -3.5. It seems to me like the bookies have overeacted to two bad games.

This weeks Pension goes on NYG and the exceptional Eli Manning, who IMO, can bounce back to form against an over-rated and disappointing Charger team.

The men in white coats are coming to get me Orioles :(

cunnybobbler 04 Nov 16:00
can anybody see san diego winning at the giants? giants are struggling but san diego have been pure garbage all season . finally got the run working but only against oakland so not convinced. and the chargers defense is a total joke really. 6th best pass desfense in the yards per game stat. stats really are utter bollix arent they.

3 of the 4 chargers wins were against Oakland and chiefs, sums it up really..!!

Agree ; robbing_ROBIN
Division is between the Giant's & Eagle's

Agree ; captaincuttle
The Giant's road travells showed against the Saint's & We all know how good they been,
now after a few poor game's Will handle the charger's with ( One hand tied behind their back's )
But if ; they need will Go " ALL-OUT " before the bye. Then Expect the REAL Giant's to Return.

Kansas @ Jax -6.5 ................. kc +6.5
Baltimore @ Cincinatti +3...........bal -3 - NB
Houston @ Indy -9.5................hou +9.5 *****NAP
Green Bay @ Tampa +9.5..........gb -9.5
Arizona @ Chicago -3................chi -3
Miami @ New England -10.5........ne - 10.5
Detroit @ Seattle -10................sea - 10
Titans @ 49ers -5.5..................ten =5.5
San Diego @ NYG -3.5...............nyg -3.5
Dallas @ Philly -3.....................phi-3

only playin
houston , baltimore and seattle

Nothing wrong with backing your judgement, Captain.

I just wouldn't fancy it with Manning in this sort of form. He's a bit like a horse who's fallen last three times out; I'd like to see the beast get round before backing it :)

^ Dave, normally you back it over the 3 falls, and just watch it romp home when it stands up tho :p

San Diegos D is poor, and considering oakland have won of the worse rush Ds, I'd look nothing into how they ran the ball on Oakland. I like the Giants to win by a TD (in agreement with above)

Well, my horsey skills aside, I have the Giants by just less than a FG.

So your bet is probably safe :^0

Out of all the prices available I thought the most interesting one was Cincinnati with the points at home to Baltimore. Bengals aren't getting the recognition for their results so far. Dallas with the points could be NB, they seem to be rapidly improving and Philly have the ability to play hot and cold

titans
lions
panthers
ravens
bucs

all to cover the handicaps for me.... gl

got a feeling panthers will end the run te saints and to have 14 points in my favour is a belting bet me thinks

the way panthers ran the ball last week they have a chance against anyone

especially the NO D which cant stop the run for toffee

if they can keep Brees and co off the field for long periods of time then i fancy the panthers to cover the hcap easily

dodgy coach at the panthers though. you never know what he fancies.

Bengals & Eagles

hard to make a case against any of the home favs imo. would like to go with ari and sd, but they also have the west-east travel bug to contend with, ari especially with the early kickoff. but the cards were just too bad to be true last week! :( the sd run d may get ripped apart. maybe the tenn revival might continue?

could be quite a boring week.

I really like the Texans as not sure Indy can run the ball at all

just for the record the current consensus picks are:

Atlanta 77% and Green Bay 76.5%

The normal rule of thumb is anything 75% or above the value is with the other side

Addai can run if that helps

is Andre Johnson back for Texans?

I'm thinking of making the 49'ers on the cap my main bet tomorrow.
While I love american football,I would openly admit I am not the most knowledgeable.
But this looks a decent bet to me.What am I missing ?

andre was never miossing sapphire. but owen daniels is on injured reserve which wont help their offence 2morrow (today) colts got their injuries aswell, i like the texans to cover.

titans going into diffrent timezones against san fran, which means i normally take the home side, thou havent done it this much this season cards another one today at bears.
titans struggling against the run and the 49ers will run run run. smith also seems ok at throwing the ball trying to stay in a job. titans still thou not as bad as their record is, i wont be betting this game.

cheers Sky Blues

I knew he came of injured against the 49ers, but thought he missed the Bills game. Just checked and you're right!

yeah he came out for a couple of series against the bills but played the most part and seems ready to go this week.

Cheers SkyBlue,although...
Did the Colts play a full team the other week ?
How did the 49'ers manage to keep it so close if so ?
With home advantage against the Titans also.
I do realise they are both pretty pants,but it's the only bet that really took my fancy.

colts played as good as full strength as they could have, took a trick play to win it for the colts. weather manning had an off day or the 49ers def had his number im unsure.
if i was having a bet id take 49ers just because off the rushing game imo and if the 49ers are bad anywhere is the pass def which the titans wont get much from imo.
very hard week imo not sre what my best bets are im iffy on all off them.
ill take a stab and say my best 2 are
chiefs over 41
texans +8.5
Though have a few other iffys.

Ok.Thanks m8.
GL.

gl dont think ive been too helpfull prob still left u near 50-50 but hey ho gl anyhow whatever u do mate.

I know you are clued up(remember speaking to you years ago on Sunday nights)
I'm gonna go with my instincts to be honest.Nothing else stands out to me.I was gonna lay the Giants,but after picking bits up of the forum I have decided against it(means the Chargers hose up now :D )

Thought Titans layed it on the line last week (physically), now it's 49ers turn to get nasty at home. Trend of late is home teams coming off bad road losses bouncing back nicely.

yeah like i said if i was forced to bet here id be taking the 49ers, they seem to be being backed aswell.
I always find it best to go with your 1st instincts mate, i seem to do better like that anyhow.
ive done
gmen -4.5
falcs -9
jags over 41.5
colts -2.5 bengals +9.5 (teaser)
texans +8.5.

6 prices i am currently looking at

i usually end up picking 2/3

Arizona @ 2.2
Kansas @ 3.55
Houston @ 4.4
Carolina @ 6.4
SD @ 3.2
Tennessee @ 2.84

Houston and Carolina are the immediate standouts for me.

I fancy Kansas to make an impact but want a bigger price but may take them on the hcap

by far the best three Uk tele games of the season today, Texans could keep it close if they start well.
Like a lot of people fancy the chargers to further exspose that Giants secondary. Brandon Jacobs and Tuck are gonna have to play out of their skin for the Giants to take this one imo.

Carolina for the interest d13phe and arizona id take.

Taken Titans and Cards match odds

Texans and Panthers on the hcap

personally cant believe i got 1.87 for panthers with 14 points

i know anything can happen but i cant see titans winning...arizona worth a go...panthers should cover 14...lot of confidence now

always be wary backing teams that have travelled west to east, especially on 1pm kickoffs :|

id be more concerned with travelling from seattle to miami lol

dont buy the travelling business these days

last week i had 7 teams i was convinced about and they all won...this week a headache...5 team acca and a few doubles and trebles on the spreads...the late game should be a classic so holding back a bit

Anyone make a good argument for backing either cinci or baltimore? hardest match to call imo

boldin out as well. best leave cards alone

i think dallas philly is the toughest one

dallas in good form but romo blew up against philly last time out

philly will win for me..home field big advantage

i seem to remember that your an eagles fan?

well im a cowboys fan so wont be wishing you best luck with that one!

Agree with Harry , make Philly my Nap this week

they put a stinker in against oakland...mcnabb had 1 of his games where he looks asleep...put things right last week

i like indy -8

colts
saints
cincinatti

know any sites to watch the pats game fella's????

channelsurfing.net may have a link or adthe.net

looks like chi d forgot to take the field

as above but insert Bal for Chi - FFS !!!

another td for the cards! :^0 and i benched warner for hasselbeck on one of my fantasy teams!

d13phe 08 Nov 17:03


i seem to remember that your an eagles fan?

well im a cowboys fan so wont be wishing you best luck with that one!

didnt see that earlier...correct...im coming around to dallas being a threat this year though

130yds rushing for ari :^0 hadn't realised the chi d had disintegrated so badly

sparkygayle 08 Nov 19:06


as above but insert Bal for Chi - FFS !!!





as above but insert offense for defense - 39 yds so far........

lol i was chuffed when i managed to pick up derrick mason off waivers. not looking so good now

d13phe 08 Nov 16:38


Taken Titans and Cards match odds

Texans and Panthers on the hcap

personally cant believe i got 1.87 for panthers with 14 points


TD titans and good night

4/4 will do me

:)

good value losers 07 Nov 16:07
would like to go with ari and sd, but they also have the west-east travel bug to contend with, ari especially with the early kickoff.


doh! :^0