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Contrarian Handicapping

The Spring Cup

20 Apr 12 14:06
Good afternoon.

I'll probably be going double handed in the race but the one that caught my eye at a huge price (28/1, now 25's) was Pintura who was 2nd in the race last year. He's had two runs this year and should be match fit now and Mr Spencer is booked who is 1240 on him.
His new mark of 95 gives him a decent chance I feel and the ground looks in his favour.
Stamina should be a must I would think with the conditions so the fact he has form over further augurs well.
From 8f to 10f on g/s or worse Pintura's figures read 2133133123 ! and over 8f 2123. He hasn't got any secrets but runs very well in the grade and looks hugely overpriced given the conditions.Lots of big field class 2 form and he looks to have a good draw next to where the pace looks likely to come from in stall 10.

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