Good morning.
Just to show how old I am I can remember backing and watching Dallas win the Cambridgeshire back in 1986 for Luca Cumani ! I've managed to find the winner a few times since then so am hoping for some good runs this year.
There's a Cumani connection for two of the three picks as they are both trained by Ed Walker former assistant to Luca Cumani who is doing very well with his older horses this year.
Step forward Riggins and Red Gulch.
Ed Walkers website is very informative as to how all his runners are doing and he obviously speaks highly of both selections.
Riggins is probably one of the best handicapped runners in the field and the ground is very much in his favour as I feel is the course and distance. Nothing has really gone to plan for him this year and he has raced on ground that hasn't really suited but has still done resonably well. Everything looks more in his favour now although stall 22 is a ? but he is drawn close to a number of prominent racers which will help. You dont have to go back far to see he has a good chance. A 3rd on his first start last year over the C/D to Tartan Gigha the Cambridgeshire 2nd in 2009 reads really well as does his 2nd to Invisible Man in the Hunt Cup where he was unlucky not to have gone very close off 100.
Those two straight track big field handicap results are always a good thing to have in the book and on those he would have every chance.
Riggins then went on to give Ed Walker his first winner from his first start when dead heating with Fanunalter off a mark of 108 at Kempton which shows just how good he is. Off 98 tomorrow he looks to have a great e/w chance. Some will say that 7yr olds cant win this race but Riggins has ran just 15 times in total due to how fragile he is.
I feel he has a great chance and so does his trainer !
Red Gulch is improving rapidly since being stepped up to 8f and his ability to quicken off a strong pace is a major positive in this race. He carry's a 4lb penalty for winning the London Mile but he looks like he could be even better than his 100 mark as his turn of foot is quite something.This will be the first time at 9f but it looks like it wont be a problem as long as his jockey can keep hold of him as he travels very strongly in his races. There's quite a bit of pace around where he is drawn which I feel will help him settle into a good position.
If he gets the trip he looks a strong contender as well.
The stables older runners have done really well this year with 8 wins from 40 runs, six 2nd places and one 3rd along with four 4th's and show a +£51.67 profit to stake. Hopefully the Cambridgeshire will improve that even more !
Finally, one at 50/1 to make up a three pronged approach.
Nice Style looks a mighty big price to me as he has some very good pieces of form and somehow he has dropped to a mark of just 88 despite not running to badly on turf this year. Raul da Silva is booked taking off a handy 7lb which is a bonus. He had some good form in Ireland and is actually 2/2 at the distance.
He returned back off a lengthy break in 2010 with Jeremy Gask and put up some good performances on the A/W before running down the field in the Winer Derby.He's had just a handful of races on turf running ok and feel this trip in a big field could well suit him. He's not run for 56 days but that could well be in his favour as he runs very well off a break. At 50/1 I fel he's worth a go.
RIGGINS 1 POINT E/W AT 33/1 (BOG THE FIRST FIVE) (40/1 FIRST 4)
RED GULCH 1 POINT E/W AT 16/1 (BOG THE FIRST FIVE)
NICE STYLE 1 POINT E/W AT 50/1 (BOG THE FIRST FIVE)
TOTAL STAKES 6 POINTS and hoping it has been worth the long write up.